La Liga · 2024

Real Madrid 4–2 Sevilla · La Liga

4–2Historical match

Sevilla

LWDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 4–2.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
21.32
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Sevilla 4–2. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Sevilla): shots 16–10, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 2–1.32, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Sevilla11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridSevillaBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.39 corners/match ●CornersReal Madrid · Sevilla5.22 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridSevillaBaseline
Corners5.39 corners/match5.22 corners/match4.69 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsReal Madrid 16 shots, Sevilla 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsReal Madrid 8 shots, Sevilla 5 shots
  • Expected goals2 xG1.32 xGReal Madrid 2 xG, Sevilla 1.32 xG
  • Possession59%41%Real Madrid 59%, Sevilla 41%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersReal Madrid 6 corners, Sevilla 6 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls14 foulsReal Madrid 5 fouls, Sevilla 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Federico Valverde · Real Madrid · 20′ · 0.01 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 10′ · 0.02 xG · goalStanis Idumbo Muzambo · Sevilla · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Sambi Lokonga · Sevilla · 83′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRodrygo · Real Madrid · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNemanja Gudelj · Sevilla · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJuanlu Sánchez · Sevilla · 33′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 23′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 68′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRodrygo · Real Madrid · 23′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 19′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLucas Vázquez · Real Madrid · 43′ · 0.12 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 82′ · 0.14 xG · on targetDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 86′ · 0.15 xG · goalLucas Vázquez · Real Madrid · 19′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 34′ · 0.17 xG · goalDani Ceballos · Real Madrid · 43′ · 0.18 xG · on targetAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 44′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 47′ · 0.26 xG · on targetBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 53′ · 0.28 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 17′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 35′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 16 shots, 8 on target, 1.98 xG. Sevilla: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Kylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 10′Federico Valverde · Real Madrid · 20′Rodrygo · Real Madrid · 34′Brahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 53′Isaac Romero · Sevilla · 35′Dodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 1.98 xG · Sevilla 1.28 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Real Madrid
1Draws
0Sevilla
Real Madrid — Sevilla · La Liga1–0
Sevilla — Real Madrid · La Liga1–1
Sevilla — Real Madrid · La Liga1–2
Real Madrid — Sevilla · La Liga3–1
Sevilla — Real Madrid · La Liga2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Sevilla in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid18 matchesSevilla18 matches
2.28 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.11 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.5 goals/match
1.85 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.08 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots18/1811.8 shots/match
6.28 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/183.78 shots/match
60.5% ●Possession18/1853.3%
5.39 corners/match ●Corners18/185.22 corners/match
9.06 fouls/matchFouls18/1812 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Dec 2024, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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