La Liga · 2024

Sevilla 1–0 Celta Vigo · La Liga

Sevilla

LLWDL
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sevilla won 1–0.

Shots
810
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.581.17
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sevilla beat Celta Vigo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sevilla – Celta Vigo): shots 8–10, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.58–1.17, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sevilla's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots10 shotsSevilla 8 shots, Celta Vigo 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsSevilla 3 shots, Celta Vigo 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.58 xG1.17 xGSevilla 0.58 xG, Celta Vigo 1.17 xG
  • Possession45%55%Sevilla 45%, Celta Vigo 55%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersSevilla 3 corners, Celta Vigo 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsSevilla 12 fouls, Celta Vigo 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Óscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManu Bueno · Sevilla · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedStanis Idumbo Muzambo · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManu Bueno · Sevilla · 65′ · 0.03 xG · goalDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 15′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 23′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSaúl Ñíguez · Sevilla · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedManu Bueno · Sevilla · 63′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 51′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSaúl Ñíguez · Sevilla · 36′ · 0.11 xG · on targetPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 11′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 87′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 39′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 85′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedAlfon González · Celta Vigo · 87′ · 0.42 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sevilla: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.65 xG. Celta Vigo: 10 shots, 2 on target, 1.25 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Manu Bueno · Sevilla · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sevilla 0.65 xG · Celta Vigo 1.25 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sevilla
4Draws
1Celta Vigo
Sevilla — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–2
Celta Vigo — Sevilla · La Liga1–1
Sevilla — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–2
Celta Vigo — Sevilla · La Liga1–1
Sevilla — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sevilla favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sevilla17 matchesCelta Vigo17 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.47 goals/match
1.35 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.65 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.44 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots17/1711.6 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 4.35 shots/match
54%Possession17/17● 54.1%
5.18 corners/match ●Corners17/173.41 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Dec 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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