PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Atlético Madrid 4–3 Sevilla · La Liga

4–3Historical match

Sevilla

WLLWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 4–3.

Shots
144
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
2.040.39
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Madrid beat Sevilla 4–3. Recorded in this match (Atlético Madrid – Sevilla): shots 14–4, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 2.04–0.39, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Madrid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Madrid's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match1.88 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atlético Madrid have a visible home split

moderate

Atlético Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots4 shotsAtlético Madrid 14 shots, Sevilla 4 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsAtlético Madrid 9 shots, Sevilla 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.04 xG0.39 xGAtlético Madrid 2.04 xG, Sevilla 0.39 xG
  • Possession57%43%Atlético Madrid 57%, Sevilla 43%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersAtlético Madrid 5 corners, Sevilla 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls8 foulsAtlético Madrid 11 fouls, Sevilla 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Djibril Sow · Sevilla · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavi Galán · Atlético Madrid · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 79′ · 0.02 xG · goalÁngel Correa · Atlético Madrid · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo De Paul · Atlético Madrid · 10′ · 0.04 xG · goalDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 12′ · 0.05 xG · goalAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 9′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 53′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 6′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 71′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJuanlu Sánchez · Sevilla · 57′ · 0.17 xG · goalAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 77′ · 0.17 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 74′ · 0.18 xG · on targetIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 32′ · 0.20 xG · goalAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.21 xG · goalAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 62′ · 0.23 xG · goalConor Gallagher · Atlético Madrid · 41′ · 0.69 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 14 shots, 9 on target, 2.08 xG. Sevilla: 4 shots, 3 on target, 0.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Rodrigo De Paul · Atlético Madrid · 10′Antoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 62′Samuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 79′Antoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 90′Dodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 12′Isaac Romero · Sevilla · 32′Juanlu Sánchez · Sevilla · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 2.08 xG · Sevilla 0.44 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Atlético Madrid
1Draws
1Sevilla
Sevilla — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–0
Atlético Madrid — Sevilla · La Liga1–0
Atlético Madrid — Sevilla · La Liga6–1
Sevilla — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–2
Atlético Madrid — Sevilla · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Madrid favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Sevilla in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid16 matchesSevilla16 matches
1.88 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161.06 goals/match
0.69 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.44 goals/match
1.74 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/161.1 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots16/1612.1 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/163.75 shots/match
52.3%Possession16/16● 54.6%
4.94 corners/matchCorners16/16● 5.31 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 9 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MadridSevilla
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headAtlético Madrid — Sevilla
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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