La Liga · 2024Sun, 8 Dec 2024, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Osasuna

WWLDD

2–2Full-time recap

Deportivo Alavés

LWLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Osasuna	Deportivo Alavés
Shots	16 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.96 xG/match▲	1.54 xG/match
Possession	60%●	40%
Corners	8 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Osasuna: 16 shots, 8 on target, 1.94 xG. Deportivo Alavés: 6 shots, 3 on target, 1.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Osasuna 1.94 xG · Deportivo Alavés 1.31 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Osasuna have a visible home split

moderate

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.8 shots/match	10.3 shots/match	11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.7 fouls/matchFoulsOsasuna · Deportivo Alavés15.9 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Osasuna	Deportivo Alavés	Baseline
Fouls	13.7 fouls/match	15.9 fouls/match	12.2 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Osasuna

0Draws

0Deportivo Alavés

4 Mar 2024Osasuna — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga1–0

1 Oct 2023Deportivo Alavés — Osasuna · La Liga0–2

10 Apr 2022Osasuna — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga1–0

18 Sept 2021Deportivo Alavés — Osasuna · La Liga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Alavés in 4 · 5 too close

1.38 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/161.13 goals/match

1.56 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 16/161.69 goals/match

1.12 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 16/161.08 xG/match

1.46 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 16/161.45 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/16▲11.3 shots/match

12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/16▲11.2 shots/match

3.56 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/163.56 shots/match

5.06 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/16▲4.56 shots/match

43.8%●Possessionseason · 16/1643.3%

4.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/16●4.69 corners/match

5.88 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/16▲5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1615.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1619%

81%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1669%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna27.5

Deportivo Alavés12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna40

Deportivo Alavés44.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna29.2

Deportivo Alavés34.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna47.5

Deportivo Alavés82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna72.5

Deportivo Alavés92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna27.5

Deportivo Alavés47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna39.4

Deportivo Alavés55.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Osasuna16 matchesDeportivo Alavés16 matches

1.38 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161.13 goals/match

1.56 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.69 goals/match

1.12 xG/matchExpected goals16/161.08 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShots16/16▲11.3 shots/match

3.56 shots/matchShots on target16/163.56 shots/match

43.8%●Possession16/1643.3%

4.25 corners/matchCorners16/16●4.69 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.7 fouls/matchFouls16/1615.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Osasuna9 matchesDeportivo Alavés9 matches

1.89 goals/match▲Goals scored9/91.11 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/92.11 goals/match

1.66 xG/match▲Expected goals9/91.15 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shots9/910.9 shots/match

4.89 shots/match▲Shots on target9/93.44 shots/match

47.3%●Possession9/943.1%

5.44 corners/match●Corners9/93 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.3 fouls/matchFouls9/916.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.09 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Dec 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4