La Liga · 2024Sun, 22 Dec 2024, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Leganés

WLDLW

2–5Full-time recap

Villarreal

DDLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Leganés	Villarreal
Shots	5 shots/match	18 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.25 xG/match	3.29 xG/match▲
Possession	36%	64%●
Corners	1 corners/match	5 corners/match●
Fouls	17 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Leganés: 5 shots, 3 on target, 1.28 xG. Villarreal: 18 shots, 9 on target, 3.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leganés 1.28 xG · Villarreal 3.39 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Villarreal. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

7.78 shots/match▲ShotsLeganés · Villarreal14.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Leganés	Villarreal	Baseline
Shots	7.78 shots/match	14.7 shots/match	11.4 shots/match
Shots against	14.7 shots/match	12.2 shots/match	11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Villarreal.

6.9 days▲Rest daysLeganés · Villarreal3.88 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Leganés	Villarreal	Baseline
Rest days	6.9 days	3.88 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Leganés's recent record differs from the season

weak

Leganés's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season7.78 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	6.4 shots/match	7.78 shots/match	11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Leganés favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Villarreal in 9 · 2 too close

0.94 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 18/18▲1.89 goals/match

1.56 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 18/181.67 goals/match

0.71 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 18/18▲1.77 xG/match

1.66 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 18/18▲1.21 xG/match

7.78 shots/matchShotsseason · 18/18▲14.7 shots/match

14.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 18/18▲12.2 shots/match

2.61 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 18/18▲4.78 shots/match

5.11 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 18/18▲4.39 shots/match

41.8%Possessionseason · 18/18●49.1%

2.78 corners/matchCornersseason · 18/18●4.61 corners/match

5.89 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 18/18▲4.33 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/1812.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

28%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/186%

61%Scoring frequencyseason · 18/18▲89%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leganés12.5

Villarreal52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leganés14.2

Villarreal86.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leganés17.5

Villarreal24.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leganés2.5

Villarreal97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leganés62.5

Villarreal50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leganés2.5

Villarreal47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leganés20

Villarreal67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Leganés18 matchesVillarreal18 matches

0.94 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲1.89 goals/match

1.56 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.67 goals/match

0.71 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲1.77 xG/match

7.78 shots/matchShots18/18▲14.7 shots/match

2.61 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲4.78 shots/match

41.8%Possession18/18●49.1%

2.78 corners/matchCorners18/18●4.61 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.4 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Leganés9 matchesVillarreal9 matches

0.89 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲1.78 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1.44 goals/match

0.91 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲1.62 xG/match

8.44 shots/matchShots9/9▲14.6 shots/match

2.56 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲4.78 shots/match

45.2%Possession9/9●50.4%

2.33 corners/matchCorners9/9●4.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13 fouls/matchFouls9/911.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.88 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples18 / 18home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Dec 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4