La Liga · 2024

Villarreal 1–1 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Villarreal and Rayo Vallecano drew 1–1.

Shots
1418
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.321.49
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Villarreal and Rayo Vallecano drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Villarreal – Rayo Vallecano): shots 14–18, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.32–1.49, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Villarreal.

3.12 days ▲Rest daysVillarreal · Rayo Vallecano4.02 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricVillarrealRayo VallecanoBaseline
Rest days3.12 days4.02 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Villarreal's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.71 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsVillarreal · Rayo Vallecano12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealRayo VallecanoBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots18 shotsVillarreal 14 shots, Rayo Vallecano 18 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsVillarreal 5 shots, Rayo Vallecano 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.32 xG1.49 xGVillarreal 1.32 xG, Rayo Vallecano 1.49 xG
  • Possession45%55%Villarreal 45%, Rayo Vallecano 55%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersVillarreal 7 corners, Rayo Vallecano 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls15 foulsVillarreal 10 fouls, Rayo Vallecano 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Thiago Ojeda · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYéremy Pino · Villarreal · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdul Mumin · Rayo Vallecano · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPacha · Rayo Vallecano · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPacha · Rayo Vallecano · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSergio Camello · Rayo Vallecano · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSergio Camello · Rayo Vallecano · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 78′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPape Gueye · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 38′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Valentín · Rayo Vallecano · 70′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedYéremy Pino · Villarreal · 10′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 38′ · 0.12 xG · on targetSergio Camello · Rayo Vallecano · 55′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPacha · Rayo Vallecano · 70′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 45′ · 0.13 xG · goalThierno Barry · Villarreal · 24′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 82′ · 0.20 xG · on targetAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 58′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 21′ · 0.26 xG · goalJuan Bernat · Villarreal · 89′ · 0.26 xG · on targetJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 51′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Villarreal: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.35 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 18 shots, 3 on target, 1.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ayoze Pérez · Villarreal · 45′Álvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 21′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 1.35 xG · Rayo Vallecano 1.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Villarreal
1Draws
2Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga3–0
Rayo Vallecano — Villarreal · La Liga1–1
Rayo Vallecano — Villarreal · La Liga2–1
Villarreal — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–1
Rayo Vallecano — Villarreal · La Liga1–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Villarreal favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Villarreal17 matchesRayo Vallecano17 matches
1.71 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/171.12 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.18 goals/match
1.68 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/171.15 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots17/1712.9 shots/match
4.53 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/173.47 shots/match
48.2%Possession17/17● 48.5%
4.59 corners/matchCorners17/17● 5.29 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1714.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 19 Dec 2024, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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