PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Real Betis 1–1 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Betis and Rayo Vallecano drew 1–1.

Shots
1410
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
2.140.91
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Betis and Rayo Vallecano drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Real Betis – Rayo Vallecano): shots 14–10, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.14–0.91, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Betis's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis have a visible home split

moderate

Real Betis's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Rayo Vallecano.

7.1 days ▲Rest daysReal Betis · Rayo Vallecano3.98 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReal BetisRayo VallecanoBaseline
Rest days7.1 days3.98 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots10 shotsReal Betis 14 shots, Rayo Vallecano 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsReal Betis 5 shots, Rayo Vallecano 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.14 xG0.91 xGReal Betis 2.14 xG, Rayo Vallecano 0.91 xG
  • Possession56%44%Real Betis 56%, Rayo Vallecano 44%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersReal Betis 5 corners, Rayo Vallecano 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsReal Betis 9 fouls, Rayo Vallecano 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Vitor Roque · Real Betis · 2′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPathé Ismaël Ciss · Rayo Vallecano · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 51′ · 0.02 xG · goalVitor Roque · Real Betis · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAdrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRomain Perraud · Real Betis · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiovani Lo Celso · Real Betis · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPathé Ismaël Ciss · Rayo Vallecano · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCédric Bakambu · Real Betis · 82′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVitor Roque · Real Betis · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 54′ · 0.07 xG · on targetVitor Roque · Real Betis · 6′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 19′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 46′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMarc Bartra · Real Betis · 10′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPep Chavarría · Rayo Vallecano · 19′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedCédric Bakambu · Real Betis · 84′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blockedVitor Roque · Real Betis · 76′ · 0.55 xG · on targetIsco · Real Betis · 37′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Betis: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.20 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Isco · Real Betis · 37′Isi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Betis 2.20 xG · Rayo Vallecano 0.87 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Real Betis
1Draws
1Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano — Real Betis · La Liga2–0
Real Betis — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–0
Real Betis — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga3–1
Rayo Vallecano — Real Betis · La Liga1–2
Rayo Vallecano — Real Betis · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Betis favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Betis18 matchesRayo Vallecano18 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored18/181.11 goals/match
1.22 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.17 goals/match
1.58 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.13 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots18/1812.8 shots/match
4.78 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/183.5 shots/match
50.9% ●Possession18/1848.2%
4.78 corners/matchCorners18/18● 5.28 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls18/1814.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 23 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal BetisRayo Vallecano
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headReal Betis — Rayo Vallecano
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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