PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis · La Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Betis won 1–2.

Shots
1710
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
2.050.79
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Betis beat Villarreal 2–1. Recorded in this match (Villarreal – Real Betis): shots 17–10, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 2.05–0.79, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis have a visible away split

moderate

Real Betis's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Betis show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsVillarreal · Real Betis13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealReal BetisBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots10 shotsVillarreal 17 shots, Real Betis 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsVillarreal 4 shots, Real Betis 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.05 xG0.79 xGVillarreal 2.05 xG, Real Betis 0.79 xG
  • Possession62%38%Villarreal 62%, Real Betis 38%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersVillarreal 5 corners, Real Betis 5 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls10 foulsVillarreal 19 fouls, Real Betis 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Chimy Ávila · Real Betis · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergi Altimira · Real Betis · 40′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDani Parejo · Villarreal · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Albiol · Villarreal · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEric Bailly · Villarreal · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVitor Roque · Real Betis · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiovani Lo Celso · Real Betis · 47′ · 0.05 xG · goalGiovani Lo Celso · Real Betis · 27′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAlex Baena · Villarreal · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 58′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 4′ · 0.08 xG · on targetVitor Roque · Real Betis · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 79′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAssane Diao · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 20′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 58′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 70′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 85′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 55′ · 0.16 xG · goalThierno Barry · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedVitor Roque · Real Betis · 32′ · 0.31 xG · goalYéremy Pino · Villarreal · 58′ · 0.42 xG · on targetThierno Barry · Villarreal · 85′ · 0.44 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Villarreal: 17 shots, 4 on target, 2.09 xG. Real Betis: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.81 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Alex Baena · Villarreal · 55′Vitor Roque · Real Betis · 32′Giovani Lo Celso · Real Betis · 47′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 2.09 xG · Real Betis 0.81 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Villarreal
1Draws
2Real Betis
Real Betis — Villarreal · La Liga2–3
Villarreal — Real Betis · La Liga1–2
Villarreal — Real Betis · La Liga1–1
Real Betis — Villarreal · La Liga1–0
Real Betis — Villarreal · La Liga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Villarreal favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Real Betis in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Villarreal16 matchesReal Betis17 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/171.18 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed16/17▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.7 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/171.55 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots16/1713.7 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target16/17▲ 4.76 shots/match
48.4%Possession16/17● 50.6%
4.44 corners/matchCorners16/17● 4.76 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1711.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Dec 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVillarrealReal Betis
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headVillarreal — Real Betis
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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