PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sat, 30 Nov 2024, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBarcelonaLas Palmas
Shots27 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals2.3 xG/match▲0.5 xG/match
Possession70%●30%
Corners7 corners/match●0 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Iñigo Martínez · Barcelona · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFermín López · Barcelona · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJules Koundé · Barcelona · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedri · Barcelona · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 31′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFerran Torres · Barcelona · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJules Koundé · Barcelona · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 61′ · 0.05 xG · goalLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 49′ · 0.06 xG · goalLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 70′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFermín López · Barcelona · 22′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPedri · Barcelona · 44′ · 0.07 xG · on targetFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 67′ · 0.07 xG · goalRaphinha · Barcelona · 71′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRaphinha · Barcelona · 82′ · 0.07 xG · on targetFerran Torres · Barcelona · 60′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFerran Torres · Barcelona · 66′ · 0.08 xG · on targetFermín López · Barcelona · 6′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPau Cubarsí · Barcelona · 17′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 58′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 58′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedPedri · Barcelona · 78′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedPau Cubarsí · Barcelona · 29′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedScott McKenna · Las Palmas · 11′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Barcelona: 27 shots, 8 on target, 2.30 xG. Las Palmas: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Raphinha · Barcelona · 61′Sandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 49′Fábio Silva · Las Palmas · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Barcelona 2.30 xG · Las Palmas 0.51 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Barcelona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.8 shots/match▲ShotsBarcelona · Las Palmas10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaLas PalmasBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against9.13 shots/match15.9 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Barcelona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Barcelona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.87 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match2.87 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Las Palmas have a visible away split

moderate

Las Palmas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.5 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Barcelona
0Draws
0Las Palmas
Barcelona — Las Palmas · La Liga1–0
Las Palmas — Barcelona · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Barcelona favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 0 · 3 too close

2.87 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 15/151.33 goals/match
1.07 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 15/151.73 goals/match
2.37 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 15/150.93 xG/match
1.23 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 15/151.88 xG/match
16.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/1510.9 shots/match
9.13 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 15/1515.9 shots/match
6.8 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/153.93 shots/match
3.33 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/154.93 shots/match
67.4%●Possessionseason · 15/1552.6%
5.8 corners/match●Cornersseason · 15/154.07 corners/match
5.13 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/155.27 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
8.67 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1512 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
27%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/157%
93%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Barcelona97.5
Las Palmas72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Barcelona97.5
Las Palmas54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Barcelona75
Las Palmas11.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Barcelona67.5
Las Palmas22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Barcelona2.5
Las Palmas42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Barcelona87.5
Las Palmas17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Barcelona71.2
Las Palmas41.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Barcelona15 matchesLas Palmas15 matches
2.87 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151.33 goals/match
1.07 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.73 goals/match
2.37 xG/match▲Expected goals15/150.93 xG/match
16.8 shots/match▲Shots15/1510.9 shots/match
6.8 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153.93 shots/match
67.4%●Possession15/1552.6%
5.8 corners/match●Corners15/154.07 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
8.67 fouls/matchFouls15/1512 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Barcelona6 matchesLas Palmas8 matches
3.17 goals/match▲Goals scored6/81.38 goals/match
0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/81.88 goals/match
2.76 xG/match▲Expected goals6/80.73 xG/match
18.8 shots/match▲Shots6/88.5 shots/match
7.67 shots/match▲Shots on target6/84.13 shots/match
71.2%●Possession6/851.4%
7.17 corners/match●Corners6/83.13 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
7.83 fouls/matchFouls6/811.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.71 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.81 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Nov 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBarcelonaLas Palmas
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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