PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Las Palmas 2–3 Mallorca · La Liga

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Mallorca won 2–3.

Shots
149
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.211.7
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mallorca beat Las Palmas 3–2. Recorded in this match (Las Palmas – Mallorca): shots 14–9, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.21–1.7, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Las Palmas have a visible home split

moderate

Las Palmas's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Las Palmas have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.2% ●PossessionLas Palmas · Mallorca46.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLas PalmasMallorcaBaseline
Possession54.2%46.1%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots9 shotsLas Palmas 14 shots, Mallorca 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsLas Palmas 3 shots, Mallorca 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.21 xG1.7 xGLas Palmas 1.21 xG, Mallorca 1.7 xG
  • Possession62%38%Las Palmas 62%, Mallorca 38%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersLas Palmas 4 corners, Mallorca 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls18 foulsLas Palmas 10 fouls, Mallorca 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kirian Rodríguez · Las Palmas · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManuel Fuster · Las Palmas · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 28′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSergi Darder · Mallorca · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDário Essugo · Las Palmas · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDário Essugo · Las Palmas · 77′ · 0.02 xG · goalJaime Mata · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOli McBurnie · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManu Morlanes · Mallorca · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobert Navarro · Mallorca · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 28′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedScott McKenna · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOmar Mascarell · Mallorca · 85′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRobert Navarro · Mallorca · 56′ · 0.22 xG · goalJohan Mojica · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.29 xG · goalVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 77′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedDani Rodríguez · Mallorca · 46′ · 0.59 xG · goalFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 83′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Las Palmas: 14 shots, 3 on target, 1.23 xG. Mallorca: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Dário Essugo · Las Palmas · 77′Fábio Silva · Las Palmas · 83′Dani Rodríguez · Mallorca · 46′Robert Navarro · Mallorca · 56′Johan Mojica · Mallorca · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Las Palmas 1.23 xG · Mallorca 1.72 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Las Palmas
1Draws
1Mallorca
Mallorca — Las Palmas · La Liga1–0
Las Palmas — Mallorca · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Las Palmas favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Mallorca in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Las Palmas14 matchesMallorca14 matches
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/140.93 goals/match
1.79 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 0.86 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.12 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots14/1410.9 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target14/143.93 shots/match
54.2% ●Possession14/1446.1%
4.36 corners/matchCorners14/14● 4.79 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Nov 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLas PalmasMallorca
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headLas Palmas — Mallorca
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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