PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Atlético Madrid 2–1 Deportivo Alavés · La Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 2–1.

Shots
114
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
1.650.86
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Madrid beat Deportivo Alavés 2–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Madrid – Deportivo Alavés): shots 11–4, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 1.65–0.86, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Madrid have a visible home split

moderate

Atlético Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match12.2 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Deportivo Alavés's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atlético Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.8% ●PossessionAtlético Madrid · Deportivo Alavés42.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MadridDeportivo AlavésBaseline
Possession51.8%42.3%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots4 shotsAtlético Madrid 11 shots, Deportivo Alavés 4 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotAtlético Madrid 8 shots, Deportivo Alavés 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.65 xG0.86 xGAtlético Madrid 1.65 xG, Deportivo Alavés 0.86 xG
  • Possession70%30%Atlético Madrid 70%, Deportivo Alavés 30%
  • Corners5 corners0 cornersAtlético Madrid 5 corners, Deportivo Alavés 0 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls19 foulsAtlético Madrid 18 fouls, Deportivo Alavés 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Santiago Mouriño · Deportivo Alavés · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKoke · Atlético Madrid · 34′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarcos Llorente · Atlético Madrid · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetToni Martínez · Deportivo Alavés · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Martín · Deportivo Alavés · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Llorente · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 69′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 86′ · 0.14 xG · goalSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 19′ · 0.17 xG · on targetClément Lenglet · Atlético Madrid · 58′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedJon Guridi · Deportivo Alavés · 8′ · 0.82 xG · goalAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 76′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 11 shots, 8 on target, 1.69 xG. Deportivo Alavés: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Antoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 76′Alexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 86′Jon Guridi · Deportivo Alavés · 8′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 1.69 xG · Deportivo Alavés 0.89 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Atlético Madrid
0Draws
2Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo Alavés — Atlético Madrid · La Liga2–0
Atlético Madrid — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga2–1
Atlético Madrid — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga4–1
Deportivo Alavés — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Madrid favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Deportivo Alavés in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid14 matchesDeportivo Alavés14 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141.07 goals/match
0.57 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.71 goals/match
1.55 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.04 xG/match
12.2 shots/match ▲Shots14/1411.1 shots/match
4.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/143.36 shots/match
51.8% ●Possession14/1442.3%
4.93 corners/match ●Corners14/144.21 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1416.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Nov 2024, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MadridDeportivo Alavés
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headAtlético Madrid — Deportivo Alavés
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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