PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Mallorca 2–1 Valencia · La Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Mallorca won 2–1.

Shots
97
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
0.761.3
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mallorca beat Valencia 2–1. Recorded in this match (Mallorca – Valencia): shots 9–7, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 0.76–1.3, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible away split

moderate

Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.29 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season8.85 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.29 shots/match8.85 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots7 shotsMallorca 9 shots, Valencia 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotMallorca 3 shots, Valencia 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.76 xG1.3 xGMallorca 0.76 xG, Valencia 1.3 xG
  • Possession48%52%Mallorca 48%, Valencia 52%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersMallorca 3 corners, Valencia 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsMallorca 9 fouls, Valencia 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Diego López · Valencia · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDimitri Foulquier · Valencia · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Raíllo · Mallorca · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Barrenechea · Valencia · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobert Navarro · Mallorca · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedManu Morlanes · Mallorca · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobert Navarro · Mallorca · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDani Rodríguez · Mallorca · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCyle Larin · Mallorca · 36′ · 0.06 xG · on targetCyle Larin · Mallorca · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCyle Larin · Mallorca · 45′ · 0.08 xG · goalEnzo Barrenechea · Valencia · 25′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDani Gómez · Valencia · 90′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedAbdón Prats · Mallorca · 81′ · 0.36 xG · goalLuis Rioja · Valencia · 32′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Mallorca: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.77 xG. Valencia: 7 shots, 1 on target, 1.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Cyle Larin · Mallorca · 45′Abdón Prats · Mallorca · 81′Luis Rioja · Valencia · 32′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Mallorca 0.77 xG · Valencia 1.34 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Mallorca
2Draws
1Valencia
Valencia — Mallorca · La Liga0–0
Mallorca — Valencia · La Liga1–1
Mallorca — Valencia · La Liga1–0
Valencia — Mallorca · La Liga1–2
Mallorca — Valencia · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mallorca favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Valencia in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mallorca15 matchesValencia13 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored15/131 goal/match
0.87 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/131.62 goals/match
1.09 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/130.83 xG/match
10.7 shots/match ▲Shots15/138.85 shots/match
3.87 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/132.85 shots/match
46.2% ●Possession15/1345.2%
4.67 corners/matchCorners15/13● 5.54 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls15/1311.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMallorcaValencia
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headMallorca — Valencia
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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