PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sat, 30 Nov 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
0–5Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal ValladolidAtlético Madrid
Shots9 shots/match13 shots/match▲
Shots on target1 shots/match9 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.63 xG/match4.02 xG/match▲
Possession45%55%●
Corners3 corners/match5 corners/match●
Fouls6 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Antoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedStanko Jurić · Real Valladolid · 41′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLuis Pérez · Real Valladolid · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetÁngel Correa · Atlético Madrid · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIván Sánchez · Real Valladolid · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedStanko Jurić · Real Valladolid · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 21′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKike Pérez · Real Valladolid · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 35′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJuanmi Latasa · Real Valladolid · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo De Paul · Atlético Madrid · 59′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sylla · Real Valladolid · 4′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedConor Gallagher · Atlético Madrid · 62′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJosé María Giménez · Atlético Madrid · 60′ · 0.13 xG · on targetStanko Jurić · Real Valladolid · 84′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sylla · Real Valladolid · 58′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo De Paul · Atlético Madrid · 37′ · 0.48 xG · goalAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 52′ · 0.57 xG · goalJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 35′ · 0.74 xG · goalAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.87 xG · goalClément Lenglet · Atlético Madrid · 26′ · 0.91 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Valladolid: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.63 xG. Atlético Madrid: 13 shots, 9 on target, 4.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Clément Lenglet · Atlético Madrid · 26′Julián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 35′Rodrigo De Paul · Atlético Madrid · 37′Antoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 52′Alexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Valladolid 0.63 xG · Atlético Madrid 4.01 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Valladolid's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Atlético Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Valladolid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Valladolid's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atlético Madrid have a visible away split

moderate

Atlético Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match12.3 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atlético Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.2 shots/match▲ShotsReal Valladolid · Atlético Madrid12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal ValladolidAtlético MadridBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match10.2 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Real Valladolid
0Draws
2Atlético Madrid
Real Valladolid — Atlético Madrid · La Liga2–5
Atlético Madrid — Real Valladolid · La Liga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Valladolid favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 11 · 2 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/15▲1.73 goals/match
2.13 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/15▲0.53 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 15/15▲1.72 xG/match
1.88 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 15/15▲0.8 xG/match
9.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/15▲12.3 shots/match
15.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/15▲10.2 shots/match
2.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/15▲4.6 shots/match
5.47 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/15▲2.87 shots/match
42.7%Possessionseason · 15/15●52%
3.93 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/15●4.93 corners/match
5.8 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/15▲3.33 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
13.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1511.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/15▲53%
53%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/15▲87%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Valladolid10
Atlético Madrid62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Valladolid5.8
Atlético Madrid74.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Valladolid5.8
Atlético Madrid87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Valladolid32.5
Atlético Madrid52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Valladolid72.5
Atlético Madrid17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Valladolid12.5
Atlético Madrid62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Valladolid25
Atlético Madrid55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Valladolid15 matchesAtlético Madrid15 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲1.73 goals/match
2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲0.53 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲1.72 xG/match
9.2 shots/matchShots15/15▲12.3 shots/match
2.33 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲4.6 shots/match
42.7%Possession15/15●52%
3.93 corners/matchCorners15/15●4.93 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.4 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Valladolid8 matchesAtlético Madrid8 matches
0.63 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲0.63 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲1.22 xG/match
10.9 shots/match▲Shots8/89 shots/match
2.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲3.5 shots/match
44.1%Possession8/8●47.8%
4.5 corners/match●Corners8/83.75 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.3 fouls/matchFouls8/810.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.2 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal ValladolidAtlético Madrid
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Real Valladolid vs Atlético Madrid — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath