La Liga · 2024Sun, 24 Nov 2024, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Leganés

DLWLW

0–3Full-time recap

Real Madrid

DWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Leganés	Real Madrid
Shots	4 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	0 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.12 xG/match	1.9 xG/match▲
Possession	32%	68%●
Corners	2 corners/match	4 corners/match●
Fouls	17 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Leganés: 4 shots, 0 on target, 0.12 xG. Real Madrid: 16 shots, 9 on target, 1.83 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leganés 0.12 xG · Real Madrid 1.83 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leganés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Leganés's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leganés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	0.93 goals/match	1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8 shots/match▲ShotsLeganés · Real Madrid16.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Leganés	Real Madrid	Baseline
Shots	8 shots/match	16.2 shots/match	11.4 shots/match
Shots against	13.9 shots/match	9.92 shots/match	11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.9%PossessionLeganés · Real Madrid●59.5%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.6 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Leganés	Real Madrid	Baseline
Possession	42.9%	59.5%	49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Leganés favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 11 · 2 too close

0.93 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/13▲2.15 goals/match

1.36 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/13▲0.85 goals/match

0.69 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/13▲1.9 xG/match

1.51 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/13▲0.93 xG/match

8 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/13▲16.2 shots/match

13.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/13▲9.92 shots/match

2.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/13▲6.38 shots/match

4.79 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/13▲2.46 shots/match

42.9%Possessionseason · 14/13●59.5%

2.43 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/13●6 corners/match

5.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/13▲4.31 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/139.77 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/13▲46%

57%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/13▲92%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leganés17.5

Real Madrid92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leganés14.2

Real Madrid94.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leganés25.8

Real Madrid87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leganés7.5

Real Madrid82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leganés67.5

Real Madrid7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leganés2.5

Real Madrid92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leganés21.2

Real Madrid72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Leganés14 matchesReal Madrid13 matches

0.93 goals/matchGoals scored14/13▲2.15 goals/match

1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed14/13▲0.85 goals/match

0.69 xG/matchExpected goals14/13▲1.9 xG/match

8 shots/matchShots14/13▲16.2 shots/match

2.5 shots/matchShots on target14/13▲6.38 shots/match

42.9%Possession14/13●59.5%

2.43 corners/matchCorners14/13●6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.1 fouls/matchFouls14/139.77 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Leganés7 matchesReal Madrid6 matches

0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/6▲1.67 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed7/6▲0.67 goals/match

0.9 xG/matchExpected goals7/6▲1.56 xG/match

8.57 shots/matchShots7/6▲15.3 shots/match

2.57 shots/matchShots on target7/6▲5.83 shots/match

45%Possession7/6●57.3%

2.14 corners/matchCorners7/6●5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls7/610.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115.2 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples14 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Nov 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4