La Liga · 2024Sun, 24 Nov 2024, 15:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Sevilla

WLWLL

1–0Full-time recap

Rayo Vallecano

DWLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sevilla	Rayo Vallecano
Shots	11 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	1.09 xG/match▲	0.85 xG/match
Possession	52%●	48%
Corners	8 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Sevilla: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.06 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sevilla 1.06 xG · Rayo Vallecano 0.82 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sevilla's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Rayo Vallecano's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	9 shots/match	12.7 shots/match	11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rayo Vallecano have a visible away split

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.5 corners/matchCornersSevilla · Rayo Vallecano●5.69 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Sevilla	Rayo Vallecano	Baseline
Corners	5.5 corners/match	5.69 corners/match	4.78 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Sevilla

3Draws

1Rayo Vallecano

5 Feb 2024Rayo Vallecano — Sevilla · La Liga1–2

7 Oct 2023Sevilla — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–2

19 Feb 2023Rayo Vallecano — Sevilla · La Liga1–1

29 Oct 2022Sevilla — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–1

13 Mar 2022Rayo Vallecano — Sevilla · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sevilla favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 5 · 5 too close

0.93 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/13▲1 goals/match

1.29 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/13▲1.08 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/131.17 xG/match

1.35 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/13▲1.18 xG/match

12.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/13▲13.5 shots/match

11.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 14/1312.5 shots/match

3.71 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/133.54 shots/match

3.93 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/13▲3.62 shots/match

54.6%●Possessionseason · 14/1349.9%

5.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/13●5.69 corners/match

4.57 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/135.15 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1314.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

36%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1323%

71%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1369%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sevilla77.5

Rayo Vallecano52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sevilla47.5

Rayo Vallecano51.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sevilla46.7

Rayo Vallecano49.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sevilla37.5

Rayo Vallecano77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sevilla52.5

Rayo Vallecano87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sevilla75

Rayo Vallecano82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sevilla60.6

Rayo Vallecano71.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sevilla14 matchesRayo Vallecano13 matches

0.93 goals/matchGoals scored14/13▲1 goals/match

1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed14/13▲1.08 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goals14/131.17 xG/match

12.7 shots/matchShots14/13▲13.5 shots/match

3.71 shots/matchShots on target14/133.54 shots/match

54.6%●Possession14/1349.9%

5.5 corners/matchCorners14/13●5.69 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls14/1314.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sevilla7 matchesRayo Vallecano7 matches

0.86 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.71 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲0.86 goals/match

1.33 xG/match▲Expected goals7/70.86 xG/match

13.9 shots/match▲Shots7/710 shots/match

4.14 shots/match▲Shots on target7/72.29 shots/match

54.9%●Possession7/746.6%

5.71 corners/match●Corners7/75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFouls7/716.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115.8 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples14 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Nov 2024, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4