La Liga · 2024

Sevilla 1–0 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga

Sevilla

WLWLL
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sevilla won 1–0.

Shots
119
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
1.090.85
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sevilla beat Rayo Vallecano 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sevilla – Rayo Vallecano): shots 11–9, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 1.09–0.85, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match12.7 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rayo Vallecano have a visible away split

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match13.5 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.5 corners/matchCornersSevilla · Rayo Vallecano● 5.69 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSevillaRayo VallecanoBaseline
Corners5.5 corners/match5.69 corners/match4.78 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots9 shotsSevilla 11 shots, Rayo Vallecano 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotSevilla 3 shots, Rayo Vallecano 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.09 xG0.85 xGSevilla 1.09 xG, Rayo Vallecano 0.85 xG
  • Possession52%48%Sevilla 52%, Rayo Vallecano 48%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersSevilla 8 corners, Rayo Vallecano 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls14 foulsSevilla 14 fouls, Rayo Vallecano 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Juanlu Sánchez · Sevilla · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSergio Camello · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 11′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 58′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJesús Navas · Sevilla · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNemanja Gudelj · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosé Ángel Carmona · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Sambi Lokonga · Sevilla · 10′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 77′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedUnai López · Rayo Vallecano · 41′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 33′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 21′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 62′ · 0.20 xG · on targetPedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 74′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 64′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedDjibril Sow · Sevilla · 28′ · 0.33 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sevilla: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.06 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Djibril Sow · Sevilla · 28′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sevilla 1.06 xG · Rayo Vallecano 0.82 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sevilla
3Draws
1Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano — Sevilla · La Liga1–2
Sevilla — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–2
Rayo Vallecano — Sevilla · La Liga1–1
Sevilla — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–1
Rayo Vallecano — Sevilla · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sevilla favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sevilla14 matchesRayo Vallecano13 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored14/13▲ 1 goal/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed14/13▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals14/131.17 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots14/13▲ 13.5 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target14/133.54 shots/match
54.6% ●Possession14/1349.9%
5.5 corners/matchCorners14/13● 5.69 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls14/1314.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Nov 2024, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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