La Liga · 2024

Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Athletic Club · La Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletic Club won 1–2.

Shots
712
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
0.250.69
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletic Club beat Rayo Vallecano 2–1. Recorded in this match (Rayo Vallecano – Athletic Club): shots 7–12, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 0.25–0.69, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rayo Vallecano have a visible home split

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots12 shotsRayo Vallecano 7 shots, Athletic Club 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsRayo Vallecano 4 shots, Athletic Club 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.25 xG0.69 xGRayo Vallecano 0.25 xG, Athletic Club 0.69 xG
  • Possession47%53%Rayo Vallecano 47%, Athletic Club 53%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersRayo Vallecano 1 corner, Athletic Club 7 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls8 foulsRayo Vallecano 14 fouls, Athletic Club 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Isi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 4′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYuri Berchiche · Athletic Club · 19′ · 0.01 xG · on targetÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 33′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAdrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Williams · Athletic Club · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNico Williams · Athletic Club · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMikel Jauregizar · Athletic Club · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYuri Berchiche · Athletic Club · 36′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 63′ · 0.04 xG · on targetOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 65′ · 0.04 xG · goalGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 78′ · 0.05 xG · goalRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 14′ · 0.07 xG · goalNico Williams · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 8′ · 0.13 xG · on targetNico Williams · Athletic Club · 1′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rayo Vallecano: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.26 xG. Athletic Club: 12 shots, 7 on target, 0.68 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Randy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 14′Oihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 65′Oihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rayo Vallecano 0.26 xG · Athletic Club 0.68 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Rayo Vallecano
1Draws
4Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano — Athletic Club · La Liga0–1
Athletic Club — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga4–0
Rayo Vallecano — Athletic Club · La Liga0–0
Athletic Club — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga3–2
Rayo Vallecano — Athletic Club · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rayo Vallecano favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano14 matchesAthletic Club15 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored14/15▲ 1.47 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed14/15▲ 0.93 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals14/15▲ 1.43 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots14/1511.9 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target14/15▲ 4 shots/match
49.7% ●Possession14/1548.8%
5.36 corners/match ●Corners14/155.13 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1512.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Dec 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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