PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Osasuna 2–2 Villarreal · La Liga

Osasuna

DLWWL
2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Osasuna and Villarreal drew 2–2.

Shots
416
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
1.082.53
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Osasuna and Villarreal drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Osasuna – Villarreal): shots 4–16, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 1.08–2.53, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Osasuna have a visible home split

moderate

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match10.1 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsOsasuna · Villarreal14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOsasunaVillarrealBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match14.7 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Villarreal's recent record differs from the season

weak

Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.92 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots16 shotsOsasuna 4 shots, Villarreal 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsOsasuna 3 shots, Villarreal 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.08 xG2.53 xGOsasuna 1.08 xG, Villarreal 2.53 xG
  • Possession40%60%Osasuna 40%, Villarreal 60%
  • Corners0 corners8 cornersOsasuna 0 corners, Villarreal 8 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsOsasuna 12 fouls, Villarreal 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Logan Costa · Villarreal · 40′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRamón Terrats · Villarreal · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 73′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIker Muñoz · Osasuna · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLogan Costa · Villarreal · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLogan Costa · Villarreal · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 48′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYéremy Pino · Villarreal · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSergi Cardona · Villarreal · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDani Parejo · Villarreal · 51′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJon Moncayola · Osasuna · 46′ · 0.09 xG · on targetGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 49′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 8′ · 0.12 xG · goalGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 63′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 64′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedDenis Suárez · Villarreal · 76′ · 0.22 xG · on targetThierno Barry · Villarreal · 41′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 67′ · 0.53 xG · goalAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 21′ · 0.82 xG · goalGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Osasuna: 4 shots, 3 on target, 1.06 xG. Villarreal: 16 shots, 7 on target, 2.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Ante Budimir · Osasuna · 8′Ante Budimir · Osasuna · 21′Alex Baena · Villarreal · 67′Gerard Moreno · Villarreal · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Osasuna 1.06 xG · Villarreal 2.55 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Osasuna
1Draws
3Villarreal
Osasuna — Villarreal · La Liga1–1
Villarreal — Osasuna · La Liga3–1
Osasuna — Villarreal · La Liga0–3
Villarreal — Osasuna · La Liga2–0
Osasuna — Villarreal · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Osasuna favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Villarreal in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Osasuna14 matchesVillarreal13 matches
1.36 goals/matchGoals scored14/13▲ 1.92 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed14/131.62 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals14/13▲ 1.74 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots14/13▲ 14.7 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on target14/13▲ 4.85 shots/match
43.2%Possession14/13● 47.6%
4.21 corners/matchCorners14/13● 4.77 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1312 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Nov 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOsasunaVillarreal
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headOsasuna — Villarreal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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