PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Athletic Club 1–0 Real Sociedad · La Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletic Club won 1–0.

Shots
126
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.340.7
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletic Club beat Real Sociedad 1–0. Recorded in this match (Athletic Club – Real Sociedad): shots 12–6, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.34–0.7, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Sociedad have a visible away split

moderate

Real Sociedad's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.29 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.29 shots/match11.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Sociedad have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.5%PossessionAthletic Club · Real Sociedad● 56.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubReal SociedadBaseline
Possession48.5%56.9%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots6 shotsAthletic Club 12 shots, Real Sociedad 6 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotAthletic Club 4 shots, Real Sociedad 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.34 xG0.7 xGAthletic Club 1.34 xG, Real Sociedad 0.7 xG
  • Possession40%60%Athletic Club 40%, Real Sociedad 60%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersAthletic Club 4 corners, Real Sociedad 4 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls9 foulsAthletic Club 18 fouls, Real Sociedad 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Álvaro Djaló · Athletic Club · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartín Zubimendi · Real Sociedad · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Djaló · Athletic Club · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergio Gómez · Real Sociedad · 66′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Athletic Club · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Djaló · Athletic Club · 17′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 78′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLuka Sučić · Real Sociedad · 16′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 54′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 44′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBeñat Prados · Athletic Club · 48′ · 0.17 xG · on targetÁlvaro Djaló · Athletic Club · 16′ · 0.20 xG · on targetNico Williams · Athletic Club · 24′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedBeñat Prados · Athletic Club · 25′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedMartín Zubimendi · Real Sociedad · 59′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 26′ · 0.28 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Athletic Club: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.35 xG. Real Sociedad: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Oihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 26′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 1.35 xG · Real Sociedad 0.53 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Athletic Club
0Draws
2Real Sociedad
Athletic Club — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–1
Real Sociedad — Athletic Club · La Liga3–0
Athletic Club — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–0
Real Sociedad — Athletic Club · La Liga3–1
Athletic Club — Real Sociedad · La Liga4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletic Club favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletic Club14 matchesReal Sociedad14 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/140.79 goals/match
0.93 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 0.79 goals/match
1.48 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.27 xG/match
11.9 shots/match ▲Shots14/1411.2 shots/match
3.79 shots/matchShots on target14/143.93 shots/match
48.5%Possession14/14● 56.9%
5 corners/matchCorners14/14● 6.57 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAthletic ClubReal Sociedad
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headAthletic Club — Real Sociedad
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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