La Liga · 2024Mon, 13 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Real Sociedad

LWWDL

1–0Full-time recap

Villarreal

DLLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Sociedad	Villarreal
Shots	6 shots/match	15 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.66 xG/match	1.17 xG/match▲
Possession	57%●	43%
Corners	3 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	17 fouls/match	6 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Real Sociedad: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.83 xG. Villarreal: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.17 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Sociedad 0.83 xG · Villarreal 1.17 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	0.89 goals/match	1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match▲ShotsReal Sociedad · Villarreal14.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Real Sociedad	Villarreal	Baseline
Shots	10.6 shots/match	14.7 shots/match	11.3 shots/match
Shots against	11.1 shots/match	11.8 shots/match	11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Real Sociedad

0Draws

2Villarreal

23 Feb 2024Real Sociedad — Villarreal · La Liga1–3

9 Dec 2023Villarreal — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–3

2 Apr 2023Villarreal — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–0

9 Oct 2022Real Sociedad — Villarreal · La Liga1–0

15 May 2022Villarreal — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Villarreal in 6 · 2 too close

0.89 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/19▲1.79 goals/match

0.68 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 19/191.63 goals/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 19/19▲1.74 xG/match

1.05 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 19/191.18 xG/match

10.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/19▲14.7 shots/match

11.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 19/1911.8 shots/match

3.63 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/19▲4.79 shots/match

3.26 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 19/194.32 shots/match

55.7%●Possessionseason · 19/1948.8%

5.95 corners/match●Cornersseason · 19/194.74 corners/match

4.95 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 19/19▲4.26 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1911.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

58%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/195%

58%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/19▲84%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad82.5

Villarreal52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad31.7

Villarreal86.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad71.7

Villarreal25.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad7.5

Villarreal97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad80

Villarreal32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad92.5

Villarreal47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad63.1

Villarreal63.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Sociedad19 matchesVillarreal19 matches

0.89 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲1.79 goals/match

0.68 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/191.63 goals/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲1.74 xG/match

10.6 shots/matchShots19/19▲14.7 shots/match

3.63 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲4.79 shots/match

55.7%●Possession19/1948.8%

5.95 corners/match●Corners19/194.74 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.1 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Sociedad10 matchesVillarreal10 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match

1.39 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.57 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.6 shots/match

4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.8 shots/match

56%●Possession10/1049.7%

6.7 corners/match●Corners10/104.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

23.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/122.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples19 / 19home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 14 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4