La Liga · 2024Mon, 20 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
40Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricVillarrealMallorca
Shots14 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals2.27 xG/match0.52 xG/match
Possession44%56%
Corners6 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Dani Rodríguez · Mallorca · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergi Darder · Mallorca · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 38′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAntonio Sánchez · Mallorca · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJohan Mojica · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJohan Mojica · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamú Costa · Mallorca · 43′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPape Gueye · Villarreal · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTakuma Asano · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 64′ · 0.08 xG · on targetVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 34′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDenis Suárez · Villarreal · 78′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 32′ · 0.12 xG · on targetPape Gueye · Villarreal · 72′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 78′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLogan Costa · Villarreal · 20′ · 0.16 xG · goalDani Parejo · Villarreal · 26′ · 0.16 xG · goalVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 58′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedYéremy Pino · Villarreal · 28′ · 0.28 xG · goalKiko Femenía · Villarreal · 36′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 24′ · 0.88 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Villarreal: 14 shots, 7 on target, 2.51 xG. Mallorca: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Logan Costa · Villarreal · 20′Alex Baena · Villarreal · 24′Dani Parejo · Villarreal · 26′Yéremy Pino · Villarreal · 28′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 2.51 xG · Mallorca 0.51 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Mallorca's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.7 shots/matchShotsVillarreal · Mallorca10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealMallorcaBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match10.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Mallorca's recent record differs from the season

weak

Mallorca's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.2 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.2 shots/match10.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Villarreal
1Draws
2Mallorca
MallorcaVillarreal · La Liga12
VillarrealMallorca · La Liga11
MallorcaVillarreal · La Liga01
MallorcaVillarreal · La Liga42
VillarrealMallorca · La Liga02

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Villarreal favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Mallorca in 3 · 3 too close

1.9 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 20/200.95 goals/match
1.55 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 20/201.25 goals/match
1.76 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 20/201.08 xG/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 20/201.16 xG/match
14.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 20/2010.1 shots/match
11.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 20/2013.7 shots/match
4.9 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 20/203.45 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 20/203.85 shots/match
48.6%Possessionseason · 20/2045.8%
4.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/204.1 corners/match
4.3 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 20/205.3 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2011.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
10%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/2030%
85%Scoring frequencyseason · 20/2065%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Villarreal52.5
Mallorca32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Villarreal87.5
Mallorca28.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Villarreal30.8
Mallorca45.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Villarreal97.5
Mallorca42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Villarreal27.5
Mallorca42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Villarreal52.5
Mallorca32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Villarreal63.8
Mallorca33.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Villarreal20 matchesMallorca20 matches
1.9 goals/matchGoals scored20/200.95 goals/match
1.55 goals/matchGoals allowed20/201.25 goals/match
1.76 xG/matchExpected goals20/201.08 xG/match
14.7 shots/matchShots20/2010.1 shots/match
4.9 shots/matchShots on target20/203.45 shots/match
48.6%Possession20/2045.8%
4.8 corners/matchCorners20/204.1 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFouls20/2011.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Villarreal10 matchesMallorca10 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/101 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.95 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.22 xG/match
14.7 shots/matchShots10/1010 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target10/103.4 shots/match
47.4%Possession10/1048.6%
5 corners/matchCorners10/103.3 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/130.3 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Villarreal vs Mallorca — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath