PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Atlético Madrid 1–0 Osasuna · La Liga

1–0Historical match

Osasuna

DDDDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 1–0.

Shots
96
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
2.540.28
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Madrid beat Osasuna 1–0. Recorded in this match (Atlético Madrid – Osasuna): shots 9–6, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 2.54–0.28, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Madrid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Madrid's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.79 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.79 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible away split

moderate

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

5.78 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.58 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots5.78 shots/match9.58 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Osasuna show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Osasuna's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Madrid · Osasuna9.58 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MadridOsasunaBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match9.58 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against9.95 shots/match11.7 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots6 shotsAtlético Madrid 9 shots, Osasuna 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotAtlético Madrid 5 shots, Osasuna 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.54 xG0.28 xGAtlético Madrid 2.54 xG, Osasuna 0.28 xG
  • Possession51%49%Atlético Madrid 51%, Osasuna 49%
  • Corners4 corners0 cornersAtlético Madrid 4 corners, Osasuna 0 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls14 foulsAtlético Madrid 8 fouls, Osasuna 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pablo Ibáñez · Osasuna · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPablo Ibáñez · Osasuna · 40′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 36′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPablo Ibáñez · Osasuna · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNahuel Molina · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 52′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Llorente · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJorge Herrando · Osasuna · 23′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 53′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Correa · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.23 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 28′ · 0.41 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 13′ · 0.68 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 55′ · 0.73 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 9 shots, 5 on target, 2.65 xG. Osasuna: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Julián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 55′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 2.65 xG · Osasuna 0.30 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Atlético Madrid
0Draws
1Osasuna
Atlético Madrid — Osasuna · La Liga1–4
Osasuna — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–2
Atlético Madrid — Osasuna · La Liga3–0
Osasuna — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–1
Osasuna — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Madrid favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Osasuna in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid19 matchesOsasuna19 matches
1.79 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.21 goals/match
0.63 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.47 goals/match
1.72 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.01 xG/match
11.7 shots/match ▲Shots19/199.58 shots/match
4.74 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/193.21 shots/match
51.7% ●Possession19/1945.3%
4.95 corners/match ●Corners19/194 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls19/1913.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jan 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MadridOsasuna
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headAtlético Madrid — Osasuna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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