La Liga · 2024Sun, 12 Jan 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
12Full-time recap

Getafe

WLWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLas PalmasGetafe
Shots15 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.35 xG/match1.11 xG/match
Possession64%36%
Corners4 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match17 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Omar Alderete · Getafe · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuis Milla · Getafe · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKirian Rodríguez · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetChristantus Uche · Getafe · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 49′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMauro Arambarri · Getafe · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMika Mármol · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedManuel Fuster · Las Palmas · 61′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPeter González · Getafe · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristantus Uche · Getafe · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedManuel Fuster · Las Palmas · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCoba Da Costa · Getafe · 28′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKirian Rodríguez · Las Palmas · 32′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKirian Rodríguez · Las Palmas · 17′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAdnan Januzaj · Las Palmas · 88′ · 0.09 xG · goalMauro Arambarri · Getafe · 60′ · 0.11 xG · on targetBertuğ Yıldırım · Getafe · 1′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedCarles Aleñá · Getafe · 12′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBorja Mayoral · Getafe · 86′ · 0.17 xG · goalCoba Da Costa · Getafe · 71′ · 0.31 xG · goalFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 56′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Las Palmas: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.39 xG. Getafe: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Adnan Januzaj · Las Palmas · 88′Coba Da Costa · Getafe · 71′Borja Mayoral · Getafe · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Las Palmas 1.39 xG · Getafe 1.11 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Getafe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Las Palmas's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Getafe show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Getafe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/matchShotsLas Palmas · Getafe12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLas PalmasGetafeBaseline
Shots11 shots/match12.5 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against14.9 shots/match8.53 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Las Palmas have a visible home split

moderate

Las Palmas's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.2 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match11 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Las Palmas have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.1%PossessionLas Palmas · Getafe43.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLas PalmasGetafeBaseline
Possession53.1%43.7%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Las Palmas
1Draws
0Getafe
GetafeLas Palmas · La Liga33
Las PalmasGetafe · La Liga20

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Las Palmas favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Getafe in 7 · 3 too close

1.26 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/190.68 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 19/190.84 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 19/190.93 xG/match
1.72 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 19/191.16 xG/match
11 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/1912.5 shots/match
14.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 19/198.53 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/193.21 shots/match
4.47 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 19/192.84 shots/match
53.1%Possessionseason · 19/1943.7%
4 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/194.11 corners/match
5.11 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 19/193.32 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1917.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
16%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/1926%
79%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/1953%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Las Palmas67.5
Getafe22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Las Palmas59.2
Getafe35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Las Palmas20.8
Getafe94.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Las Palmas27.5
Getafe92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas50
Getafe97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas20
Getafe32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Las Palmas46.2
Getafe57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Las Palmas19 matchesGetafe19 matches
1.26 goals/matchGoals scored19/190.68 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed19/190.84 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals19/190.93 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots19/1912.5 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on target19/193.21 shots/match
53.1%Possession19/1943.7%
4 corners/matchCorners19/194.11 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.2 fouls/matchFouls19/1917.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Las Palmas10 matchesGetafe9 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/90.56 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/91.22 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals10/90.82 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots10/911.6 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/92.78 shots/match
55.8%Possession10/935.7%
4.5 corners/matchCorners10/94.11 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls10/916.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

20.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/122 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jan 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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