PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Espanyol 1–0 Real Madrid · La Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Espanyol won 1–0.

Shots
521
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
0.311.78
Possession
24%76%

Full time

What the match recorded

Espanyol beat Real Madrid 1–0. Recorded in this match (Espanyol – Real Madrid): shots 5–21, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 0.31–1.78, possession 24%–76%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.5 shots/match ▲ShotsEspanyol · Real Madrid16.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEspanyolReal MadridBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match16.1 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match9.32 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Real Madrid's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Madrid's last-five shots average is above their season average.

19.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots19.8 shots/match16.1 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.1%PossessionEspanyol · Real Madrid● 61.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEspanyolReal MadridBaseline
Possession39.1%61.7%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots21 shotsEspanyol 5 shots, Real Madrid 21 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsEspanyol 2 shots, Real Madrid 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.31 xG1.78 xGEspanyol 0.31 xG, Real Madrid 1.78 xG
  • Possession24%76%Espanyol 24%, Real Madrid 76%
  • Corners1 corner8 cornersEspanyol 1 corner, Real Madrid 8 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls3 foulsEspanyol 14 fouls, Real Madrid 3 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Javi Puado · Espanyol · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 51′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 77′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJofre Carreras · Espanyol · 18′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 39′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDani Ceballos · Real Madrid · 53′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRodrygo · Real Madrid · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Vázquez · Real Madrid · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Romero · Espanyol · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLucas Vázquez · Real Madrid · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 51′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRoberto Fernández · Espanyol · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 78′ · 0.06 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 76′ · 0.07 xG · on targetFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 58′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 54′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Romero · Espanyol · 85′ · 0.12 xG · goalJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 79′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Espanyol: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.26 xG. Real Madrid: 21 shots, 7 on target, 1.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Carlos Romero · Espanyol · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Espanyol 0.26 xG · Real Madrid 1.31 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Espanyol
0Draws
4Real Madrid
Real Madrid — Espanyol · La Liga4–1
Real Madrid — Espanyol · La Liga3–1
Espanyol — Real Madrid · La Liga1–3
Real Madrid — Espanyol · La Liga4–0
Espanyol — Real Madrid · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Espanyol favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Espanyol22 matchesReal Madrid22 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 2.27 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 0.95 goals/match
0.86 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 2.08 xG/match
9.5 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 16.1 shots/match
2.45 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 6.45 shots/match
39.1%Possession22/22● 61.7%
3.82 corners/matchCorners22/22● 5.68 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls22/229 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEspanyolReal Madrid
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headEspanyol — Real Madrid
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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