PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sat, 1 Feb 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAtlético MadridMallorca
Shots17 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Expected goals1.37 xG/match▲0.54 xG/match
Possession53%●47%
Corners10 corners/match●4 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Samuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Llorente · Atlético Madrid · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartin Valjent · Mallorca · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJan Salas · Mallorca · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobert Navarro · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMateu Morey · Mallorca · 1′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMartin Valjent · Mallorca · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKoke · Atlético Madrid · 55′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTakuma Asano · Mallorca · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJan Salas · Mallorca · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.04 xG · goalPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMartin Valjent · Mallorca · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Riquelme · Atlético Madrid · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 20′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMarcos Llorente · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDani Rodríguez · Mallorca · 74′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 26′ · 0.13 xG · goalVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 75′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 39′ · 0.40 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.29 xG. Mallorca: 10 shots, 1 on target, 0.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Samuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 26′Antoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 1.29 xG · Mallorca 0.49 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Atlético Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Mallorca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atlético Madrid have a visible home split

moderate

Atlético Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atlético Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match▲ShotsAtlético Madrid · Mallorca10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MadridMallorcaBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match10.4 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against9.95 shots/match13.6 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Atlético Madrid
0Draws
1Mallorca
Mallorca — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–1
Mallorca — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–1
Atlético Madrid — Mallorca · La Liga1–0
Atlético Madrid — Mallorca · La Liga3–1
Mallorca — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Atlético Madrid favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Mallorca in 0 · 2 too close

1.68 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 22/220.86 goals/match
0.64 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 22/221.27 goals/match
1.67 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 22/221.05 xG/match
0.85 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 22/221.14 xG/match
12.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 22/2210.4 shots/match
9.95 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 22/2213.6 shots/match
4.82 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 22/223.32 shots/match
2.73 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 22/223.86 shots/match
52.6%●Possessionseason · 22/2245.9%
5.18 corners/match●Cornersseason · 22/224.09 corners/match
3.59 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 22/225.45 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2212 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
50%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/2227%
86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 22/2259%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atlético Madrid67.5
Mallorca32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atlético Madrid75.8
Mallorca26.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atlético Madrid90.8
Mallorca40.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atlético Madrid52.5
Mallorca42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atlético Madrid12.5
Mallorca40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atlético Madrid65
Mallorca37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atlético Madrid55.6
Mallorca34.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid22 matchesMallorca22 matches
1.68 goals/match▲Goals scored22/220.86 goals/match
0.64 goals/match▲Goals allowed22/221.27 goals/match
1.67 xG/match▲Expected goals22/221.05 xG/match
12.4 shots/match▲Shots22/2210.4 shots/match
4.82 shots/match▲Shots on target22/223.32 shots/match
52.6%●Possession22/2245.9%
5.18 corners/match●Corners22/224.09 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2212 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Atlético Madrid12 matchesMallorca11 matches
1.92 goals/match▲Goals scored12/110.91 goals/match
0.58 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/111.45 goals/match
2.11 xG/match▲Expected goals12/111.15 xG/match
15.3 shots/match▲Shots12/1110 shots/match
5.92 shots/match▲Shots on target12/113.18 shots/match
56.3%●Possession12/1148.5%
6.33 corners/match●Corners12/113.36 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.2 fouls/matchFouls12/1113.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.19 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Feb 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAtlético MadridMallorca
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Atlético Madrid vs Mallorca — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath