La Liga · 2024Sat, 1 Feb 2025, 15:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Villarreal

DWLWD

5–1Full-time recap

Real Valladolid

WLWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Villarreal	Real Valladolid
Shots	22 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	3.32 xG/match▲	0.49 xG/match
Possession	53%●	47%
Corners	3 corners/match	6 corners/match●
Fouls	9 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Villarreal: 22 shots, 8 on target, 3.41 xG. Real Valladolid: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 3.41 xG · Real Valladolid 0.54 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Villarreal's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	3 goals/match	2 goals/match	1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match▲ShotsVillarreal · Real Valladolid8.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Villarreal	Real Valladolid	Baseline
Shots	14.8 shots/match	8.5 shots/match	11.2 shots/match
Shots against	11.9 shots/match	15.9 shots/match	11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Villarreal

0Draws

1Real Valladolid

26 Oct 2024Real Valladolid — Villarreal · La Liga1–2

15 Apr 2023Villarreal — Real Valladolid · La Liga1–2

13 Aug 2022Real Valladolid — Villarreal · La Liga0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Villarreal favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Real Valladolid in 1 · 2 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 22/220.68 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 22/222.14 goals/match

1.86 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 22/220.88 xG/match

1.14 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 22/221.81 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 22/228.5 shots/match

11.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 22/2215.9 shots/match

4.86 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 22/222.18 shots/match

4.27 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 22/225.23 shots/match

48.4%●Possessionseason · 22/2242.3%

4.77 corners/match●Cornersseason · 22/223.59 corners/match

4.41 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 22/225.68 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2213.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

9%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/22▲23%

86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 22/2259%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Villarreal47.5

Real Valladolid12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Villarreal87.5

Real Valladolid4.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Villarreal30.8

Real Valladolid2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Villarreal97.5

Real Valladolid22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Villarreal27.5

Real Valladolid67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Villarreal52.5

Real Valladolid12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Villarreal63.8

Real Valladolid22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Villarreal22 matchesReal Valladolid22 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored22/220.68 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed22/222.14 goals/match

1.86 xG/match▲Expected goals22/220.88 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots22/228.5 shots/match

4.86 shots/match▲Shots on target22/222.18 shots/match

48.4%●Possession22/2242.3%

4.77 corners/match●Corners22/223.59 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls22/2213.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Villarreal11 matchesReal Valladolid11 matches

2.45 goals/match▲Goals scored11/110.73 goals/match

1.64 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/112.91 goals/match

2.08 xG/match▲Expected goals11/110.83 xG/match

15.4 shots/match▲Shots11/117.27 shots/match

5.27 shots/match▲Shots on target11/112.27 shots/match

47.9%●Possession11/1142.7%

4.82 corners/match●Corners11/113.64 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.9 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.8 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples22 / 22home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Feb 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4