La Liga · 2024

Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Real Valladolid · La Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rayo Vallecano won 1–0.

Shots
208
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.320.41
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rayo Vallecano beat Real Valladolid 1–0. Recorded in this match (Rayo Vallecano – Real Valladolid): shots 20–8, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.32–0.41, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsRayo Vallecano · Real Valladolid8.48 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoReal ValladolidBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match8.48 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match16.1 shots/match10.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

weak

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rayo Vallecano have a visible home split

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots8 shotsRayo Vallecano 20 shots, Real Valladolid 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsRayo Vallecano 6 shots, Real Valladolid 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.32 xG0.41 xGRayo Vallecano 2.32 xG, Real Valladolid 0.41 xG
  • Possession69%31%Rayo Vallecano 69%, Real Valladolid 31%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersRayo Vallecano 4 corners, Real Valladolid 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsRayo Vallecano 11 fouls, Real Valladolid 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Isi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 10′ · 0.01 xG · on targetÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChuki · Real Valladolid · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 61′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarcos André · Real Valladolid · 75′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJuanmi Latasa · Real Valladolid · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcos André · Real Valladolid · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPathé Ismaël Ciss · Rayo Vallecano · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJavi Sánchez · Real Valladolid · 14′ · 0.05 xG · on targetÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 47′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMario Martín · Real Valladolid · 84′ · 0.06 xG · on targetÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 88′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJuanmi Latasa · Real Valladolid · 85′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSergi Guardiola · Rayo Vallecano · 54′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 59′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAbdul Mumin · Rayo Vallecano · 31′ · 0.12 xG · on targetÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 51′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJuanmi Latasa · Real Valladolid · 82′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 61′ · 0.19 xG · on targetSergi Guardiola · Rayo Vallecano · 43′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedPep Chavarría · Rayo Vallecano · 79′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 71′ · 0.54 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rayo Vallecano: 20 shots, 6 on target, 2.34 xG. Real Valladolid: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Álvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rayo Vallecano 2.34 xG · Real Valladolid 0.45 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rayo Vallecano favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Real Valladolid in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano23 matchesReal Valladolid23 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/230.65 goals/match
1.04 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/232.09 goals/match
1.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/230.86 xG/match
13.1 shots/match ▲Shots23/238.48 shots/match
3.78 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/232.22 shots/match
50.3% ●Possession23/2341.8%
5.13 corners/match ●Corners23/233.52 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls23/2313.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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