La Liga · 2024

Celta Vigo 3–2 Real Betis · La Liga

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Celta Vigo won 3–2.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
2.41.2
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Celta Vigo beat Real Betis 3–2. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Real Betis): shots 14–12, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 2.4–1.2, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Betis's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match13 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis have a visible away split

moderate

Real Betis's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match13 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsCelta Vigo 14 shots, Real Betis 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsCelta Vigo 6 shots, Real Betis 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.4 xG1.2 xGCelta Vigo 2.4 xG, Real Betis 1.2 xG
  • Possession55%45%Celta Vigo 55%, Real Betis 45%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersCelta Vigo 4 corners, Real Betis 7 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsCelta Vigo 11 fouls, Real Betis 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarc Roca · Real Betis · 4′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCédric Bakambu · Real Betis · 20′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAntony · Real Betis · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVitor Roque · Real Betis · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJesús Rodriguez · Real Betis · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlfon González · Celta Vigo · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiovani Lo Celso · Real Betis · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJesús Rodriguez · Real Betis · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJesús Rodriguez · Real Betis · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Real Betis · 10′ · 0.08 xG · goalIker Losada · Celta Vigo · 26′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJavi Rodríguez · Celta Vigo · 43′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFran Beltrán · Celta Vigo · 63′ · 0.10 xG · goalPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 7′ · 0.15 xG · on targetCédric Bakambu · Real Betis · 30′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 87′ · 0.22 xG · goalPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 43′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedDiego Llorente · Real Betis · 22′ · 0.59 xG · goalJavi Rodríguez · Celta Vigo · 65′ · 1.00 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.28 xG. Real Betis: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.26 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Fran Beltrán · Celta Vigo · 63′Javi Rodríguez · Celta Vigo · 65′Williot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 87′Antony · Real Betis · 10′Diego Llorente · Real Betis · 22′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 2.28 xG · Real Betis 1.26 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Celta Vigo
1Draws
1Real Betis
Real Betis — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–2
Real Betis — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–1
Celta Vigo — Real Betis · La Liga2–1
Real Betis — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–4
Celta Vigo — Real Betis · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Real Betis in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo23 matchesReal Betis23 matches
1.48 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.17 goals/match
1.61 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.35 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals23/231.41 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 13 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 4.57 shots/match
53.5% ●Possession23/2351%
3.39 corners/matchCorners23/23● 4.78 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Feb 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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