PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sat, 8 Feb 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
3–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCelta VigoReal Betis
Shots14 shots/match▲12 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Expected goals2.4 xG/match▲1.2 xG/match
Possession55%●45%
Corners4 corners/match7 corners/match●
Fouls11 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Marcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarc Roca · Real Betis · 4′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCédric Bakambu · Real Betis · 20′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAntony · Real Betis · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVitor Roque · Real Betis · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJesús Rodriguez · Real Betis · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlfon González · Celta Vigo · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiovani Lo Celso · Real Betis · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJesús Rodriguez · Real Betis · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJesús Rodriguez · Real Betis · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Real Betis · 10′ · 0.08 xG · goalIker Losada · Celta Vigo · 26′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJavi Rodríguez · Celta Vigo · 43′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFran Beltrán · Celta Vigo · 63′ · 0.10 xG · goalPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 7′ · 0.15 xG · on targetCédric Bakambu · Real Betis · 30′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 87′ · 0.22 xG · goalPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 43′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedDiego Llorente · Real Betis · 22′ · 0.59 xG · goalJavi Rodríguez · Celta Vigo · 65′ · 1.00 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.28 xG. Real Betis: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.26 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Fran Beltrán · Celta Vigo · 63′Javi Rodríguez · Celta Vigo · 65′Williot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 87′Antony · Real Betis · 10′Diego Llorente · Real Betis · 22′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 2.28 xG · Real Betis 1.26 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Betis's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Real Betis's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Betis's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match13 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis have a visible away split

moderate

Real Betis's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match13 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Celta Vigo
1Draws
1Real Betis
Real Betis — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–2
Real Betis — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–1
Celta Vigo — Real Betis · La Liga2–1
Real Betis — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–4
Celta Vigo — Real Betis · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Real Betis in 5 · 5 too close

1.48 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 23/231.17 goals/match
1.61 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/23▲1.35 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 23/231.41 xG/match
1.15 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 23/231.36 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/23▲13 shots/match
10.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 23/2311.1 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 23/23▲4.57 shots/match
3.96 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/23▲3.65 shots/match
53.5%●Possessionseason · 23/2351%
3.39 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/23●4.78 corners/match
4.13 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/234 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2311.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/23▲22%
87%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2378%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo72.5
Real Betis57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo65.8
Real Betis66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo37.5
Real Betis55.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo27.5
Real Betis72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo22.5
Real Betis37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo7.5
Real Betis52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo38.8
Real Betis60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Celta Vigo23 matchesReal Betis23 matches
1.48 goals/match▲Goals scored23/231.17 goals/match
1.61 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲1.35 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals23/231.41 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots23/23▲13 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲4.57 shots/match
53.5%●Possession23/2351%
3.39 corners/matchCorners23/23●4.78 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.6 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Celta Vigo12 matchesReal Betis12 matches
1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored12/120.92 goals/match
1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.42 goals/match
1.45 xG/match▲Expected goals12/121.03 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots12/1210.5 shots/match
4.92 shots/match▲Shots on target12/123.67 shots/match
52.1%●Possession12/1249.6%
3.58 corners/matchCorners12/12●4.33 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.1 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.71 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Feb 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCelta VigoReal Betis
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match
Celta Vigo vs Real Betis — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath