La Liga · 2024Sat, 8 Feb 2025, 15:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
30Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAthletic ClubGirona FC
Shots23 shots/match3 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals3.56 xG/match0.06 xG/match
Possession45%55%
Corners11 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Yangel Herrera · Girona FC · 19′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYangel Herrera · Girona FC · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMikel Jauregizar · Athletic Club · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Gil · Girona FC · 56′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYeray Álvarez · Athletic Club · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdama Boiro · Athletic Club · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMikel Jauregizar · Athletic Club · 78′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYeray Álvarez · Athletic Club · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedÓscar de Marcos · Athletic Club · 18′ · 0.06 xG · on targetOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 12′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 32′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 53′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMaroan Sannadi · Athletic Club · 77′ · 0.14 xG · on targetOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 4′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 32′ · 0.19 xG · on targetOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 45′ · 0.34 xG · goalOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 79′ · 0.51 xG · goalÓscar de Marcos · Athletic Club · 44′ · 0.62 xG · on targetOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 42′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Athletic Club: 23 shots, 8 on target, 3.62 xG. Girona FC: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Oihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 42′Oihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 45′Oihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 3.62 xG · Girona FC 0.07 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Athletic Club's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Girona FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18.2 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots18.2 shots/match13 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Girona FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Girona FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13 shots/matchShotsAthletic Club · Girona FC10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubGirona FCBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.3 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against8.22 shots/match11.2 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Girona FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.2%PossessionAthletic Club · Girona FC57.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubGirona FCBaseline
Possession48.2%57.7%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Athletic Club
1Draws
3Girona FC
Girona FCAthletic Club · La Liga21
Athletic ClubGirona FC · La Liga32
Girona FCAthletic Club · La Liga11
Athletic ClubGirona FC · La Liga23
Girona FCAthletic Club · La Liga21

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Girona FC in 0 · 3 too close

1.57 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 23/231.35 goals/match
0.87 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/231.43 goals/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 23/231.24 xG/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 23/231.26 xG/match
13 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/2310.3 shots/match
8.22 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 23/2311.2 shots/match
4.26 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 23/233.7 shots/match
2.96 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/233.61 shots/match
48.2%Possessionseason · 23/2357.7%
5.65 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/235 corners/match
3.74 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/233.65 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2311.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
30%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/2326%
87%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2370%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club45
Girona FC87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club74.2
Girona FC49.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club87.5
Girona FC49.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club87.5
Girona FC2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club57.5
Girona FC17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club82.5
Girona FC57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club71.2
Girona FC38.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Athletic Club23 matchesGirona FC23 matches
1.57 goals/matchGoals scored23/231.35 goals/match
0.87 goals/matchGoals allowed23/231.43 goals/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals23/231.24 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots23/2310.3 shots/match
4.26 shots/matchShots on target23/233.7 shots/match
48.2%Possession23/2357.7%
5.65 corners/matchCorners23/235 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Athletic Club12 matchesGirona FC12 matches
1.58 goals/matchGoals scored12/120.83 goals/match
0.58 goals/matchGoals allowed12/121.42 goals/match
1.66 xG/matchExpected goals12/120.76 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots12/129.08 shots/match
4.58 shots/matchShots on target12/123 shots/match
48.5%Possession12/1257.3%
5.75 corners/matchCorners12/124 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.8 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Feb 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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Athletic Club vs Girona FC — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath