PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Mon, 3 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGirona FCLas Palmas
Shots12 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Expected goals2.04 xG/match▲1.29 xG/match
Possession47%53%●
Corners11 corners/match●3 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Mika Mármol · Las Palmas · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCristhian Stuani · Girona FC · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBryan Gil · Girona FC · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Gutiérrez · Girona FC · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 48′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 1′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArnau Martínez · Girona FC · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDonny van de Beek · Girona FC · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOli McBurnie · Las Palmas · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKirian Rodríguez · Las Palmas · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBryan Gil · Girona FC · 35′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLadislav Krejčí · Girona FC · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYangel Herrera · Girona FC · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAbel Ruíz · Girona FC · 10′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 58′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedYáser Asprilla · Girona FC · 79′ · 0.25 xG · goalAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 70′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedAbel Ruíz · Girona FC · 8′ · 0.40 xG · goalAbel Ruíz · Girona FC · 45′ · 0.82 xG · on targetFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 82′ · 0.84 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Girona FC: 12 shots, 4 on target, 2.05 xG. Las Palmas: 10 shots, 2 on target, 1.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Abel Ruíz · Girona FC · 8′Yáser Asprilla · Girona FC · 79′Fábio Silva · Las Palmas · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Girona FC 2.05 xG · Las Palmas 1.59 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Las Palmas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Girona FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Las Palmas have a visible away split

moderate

Las Palmas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.45 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.45 shots/match11 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Girona FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Girona FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match▲ShotsGirona FC · Las Palmas11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGirona FCLas PalmasBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match11 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match15.3 shots/match10.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

weak

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Girona FC
0Draws
1Las Palmas
Las Palmas — Girona FC · La Liga1–0
Las Palmas — Girona FC · La Liga0–2
Girona FC — Las Palmas · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Girona FC favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 2 · 3 too close

1.41 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 22/221.23 goals/match
1.36 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 22/221.64 goals/match
1.3 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 22/220.98 xG/match
1.15 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 22/221.96 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 22/2211 shots/match
10.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 22/2215.3 shots/match
3.82 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 22/22▲4.05 shots/match
3.41 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 22/224.82 shots/match
57.8%●Possessionseason · 22/2252.3%
5.14 corners/match●Cornersseason · 22/223.86 corners/match
3.32 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 22/225.36 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2212.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
27%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/2214%
73%Scoring frequencyseason · 22/22▲82%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Girona FC87.5
Las Palmas62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Girona FC55
Las Palmas56.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Girona FC59.2
Las Palmas15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Girona FC2.5
Las Palmas32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Girona FC17.5
Las Palmas52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Girona FC57.5
Las Palmas22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Girona FC42.5
Las Palmas46.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Girona FC22 matchesLas Palmas22 matches
1.41 goals/match▲Goals scored22/221.23 goals/match
1.36 goals/match▲Goals allowed22/221.64 goals/match
1.3 xG/match▲Expected goals22/220.98 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots22/2211 shots/match
3.82 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲4.05 shots/match
57.8%●Possession22/2252.3%
5.14 corners/match●Corners22/223.86 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.1 fouls/matchFouls22/2212.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Girona FC11 matchesLas Palmas11 matches
1.91 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111.18 goals/match
1.45 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.91 goals/match
1.77 xG/match▲Expected goals11/110.84 xG/match
11.7 shots/match▲Shots11/118.45 shots/match
4.45 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.64 shots/match
58%●Possession11/1149.2%
6.09 corners/match●Corners11/113.27 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.1 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.29 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/110 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 4 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsGirona FCLas Palmas
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Girona FC vs Las Palmas — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath