La Liga · 2024

Las Palmas 1–2 Villarreal · La Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Villarreal won 1–2.

Shots
209
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.61.01
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Villarreal beat Las Palmas 2–1. Recorded in this match (Las Palmas – Villarreal): shots 20–9, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.6–1.01, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsLas Palmas · Villarreal14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLas PalmasVillarrealBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match14.6 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match12.3 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Las Palmas have a visible home split

moderate

Las Palmas's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Villarreal's recent record differs from the season

weak

Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match2 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots9 shotsLas Palmas 20 shots, Villarreal 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsLas Palmas 4 shots, Villarreal 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.6 xG1.01 xGLas Palmas 1.6 xG, Villarreal 1.01 xG
  • Possession57%43%Las Palmas 57%, Villarreal 43%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersLas Palmas 6 corners, Villarreal 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsLas Palmas 12 fouls, Villarreal 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pape Gueye · Villarreal · 47′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMika Mármol · Las Palmas · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenito Ramírez · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEnzo Loiodice · Las Palmas · 24′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOli McBurnie · Las Palmas · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlex Suárez · Las Palmas · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJuanma Herzog · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 46′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYéremy Pino · Villarreal · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYéremy Pino · Villarreal · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 71′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJuanma Herzog · Las Palmas · 87′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 23′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Park · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 59′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 68′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedOli McBurnie · Las Palmas · 89′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedManuel Fuster · Las Palmas · 84′ · 0.14 xG · goalOli McBurnie · Las Palmas · 14′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 53′ · 0.20 xG · goalOli McBurnie · Las Palmas · 71′ · 0.29 xG · on targetAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 66′ · 0.35 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Las Palmas: 20 shots, 4 on target, 1.43 xG. Villarreal: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Manuel Fuster · Las Palmas · 84′Alex Baena · Villarreal · 53′Ayoze Pérez · Villarreal · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Las Palmas 1.43 xG · Villarreal 0.89 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Las Palmas
0Draws
1Villarreal
Villarreal — Las Palmas · La Liga3–1
Las Palmas — Villarreal · La Liga3–0
Villarreal — Las Palmas · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Las Palmas favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Villarreal in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Las Palmas23 matchesVillarreal23 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 2 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.48 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.82 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 14.6 shots/match
4.04 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 4.83 shots/match
52.5% ●Possession23/2348.2%
3.96 corners/matchCorners23/23● 4.78 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Feb 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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