PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Real Madrid 1–1 Atlético Madrid · La Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid and Atlético Madrid drew 1–1.

Shots
2310
Shots on target
91
Expected goals
1.691.54
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid and Atlético Madrid drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Atlético Madrid): shots 23–10, shots on target 9–1, expected goals 1.69–1.54, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Madrid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Madrid's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.65 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atlético Madrid have a visible away split

strong

Atlético Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match12.3 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Atlético Madrid12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridAtlético MadridBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against9.35 shots/match10.5 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots10 shotsReal Madrid 23 shots, Atlético Madrid 10 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots1 shotReal Madrid 9 shots, Atlético Madrid 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.69 xG1.54 xGReal Madrid 1.69 xG, Atlético Madrid 1.54 xG
  • Possession60%40%Real Madrid 60%, Atlético Madrid 40%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerReal Madrid 6 corners, Atlético Madrid 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls13 foulsReal Madrid 14 fouls, Atlético Madrid 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rodrygo · Real Madrid · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDani Ceballos · Real Madrid · 65′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDani Ceballos · Real Madrid · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDani Ceballos · Real Madrid · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJavi Galán · Atlético Madrid · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNahuel Molina · Atlético Madrid · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Vázquez · Real Madrid · 67′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 72′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 68′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRodrygo · Real Madrid · 71′ · 0.04 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLucas Vázquez · Real Madrid · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 66′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 82′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 57′ · 0.11 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 89′ · 0.12 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 70′ · 0.13 xG · on targetGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 60′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 40′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 75′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 52′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 50′ · 0.26 xG · goalJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 50′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 35′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 23 shots, 9 on target, 1.72 xG. Atlético Madrid: 10 shots, 1 on target, 1.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Kylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 50′Julián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 35′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 1.72 xG · Atlético Madrid 1.50 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Real Madrid
3Draws
1Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid — Real Madrid · La Liga1–1
Real Madrid — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–1
Atlético Madrid — Real Madrid · La Liga3–1
Real Madrid — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–1
Atlético Madrid — Real Madrid · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid23 matchesAtlético Madrid23 matches
2.22 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.65 goals/match
0.96 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 0.65 goals/match
2.06 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.66 xG/match
16.4 shots/match ▲Shots23/2312.3 shots/match
6.57 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/234.65 shots/match
61.6% ●Possession23/2352.1%
5.7 corners/match ●Corners23/235 corners/match
9.22 fouls/matchFouls23/2310.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal MadridAtlético Madrid
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headReal Madrid — Atlético Madrid
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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