La Liga · 2024

Atlético Madrid 1–1 Celta Vigo · La Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid and Celta Vigo drew 1–1.

Shots
911
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.551.75
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Madrid and Celta Vigo drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Madrid – Celta Vigo): shots 9–11, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.55–1.75, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Madrid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Madrid's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.63 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atlético Madrid have a visible home split

moderate

Atlético Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots11 shotsAtlético Madrid 9 shots, Celta Vigo 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsAtlético Madrid 3 shots, Celta Vigo 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.55 xG1.75 xGAtlético Madrid 0.55 xG, Celta Vigo 1.75 xG
  • Possession33%67%Atlético Madrid 33%, Celta Vigo 67%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersAtlético Madrid 2 corners, Celta Vigo 7 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls18 foulsAtlético Madrid 8 fouls, Celta Vigo 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Koke · Atlético Madrid · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFer López · Celta Vigo · 40′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFer López · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Correa · Atlético Madrid · 80′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFran Beltrán · Celta Vigo · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 53′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFran Beltrán · Celta Vigo · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFer López · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 53′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Llorente · Atlético Madrid · 55′ · 0.12 xG · on targetPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 86′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 81′ · 0.14 xG · goalPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 44′ · 0.60 xG · on targetIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 68′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.55 xG. Celta Vigo: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.81 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Alexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 81′Iago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 0.55 xG · Celta Vigo 1.81 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Atlético Madrid
0Draws
0Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–1
Atlético Madrid — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–0
Celta Vigo — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–3
Celta Vigo — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–1
Atlético Madrid — Celta Vigo · La Liga4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Madrid favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid24 matchesCelta Vigo24 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.46 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.58 goals/match
1.62 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/241.39 xG/match
12.1 shots/match ▲Shots24/2411.1 shots/match
4.58 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/244.29 shots/match
51.3%Possession24/24● 54%
4.88 corners/match ●Corners24/243.54 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2411.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Feb 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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