La Liga · 2024

Celta Vigo 1–0 Osasuna · La Liga

1–0Historical match

Osasuna

DDWDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Celta Vigo won 1–0.

Shots
1218
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
1.961.03
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Celta Vigo beat Osasuna 1–0. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Osasuna): shots 12–18, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1.96–1.03, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Osasuna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Osasuna's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible away split

moderate

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.75 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots18 shotsCelta Vigo 12 shots, Osasuna 18 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotCelta Vigo 5 shots, Osasuna 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.96 xG1.03 xGCelta Vigo 1.96 xG, Osasuna 1.03 xG
  • Possession46%54%Celta Vigo 46%, Osasuna 54%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersCelta Vigo 5 corners, Osasuna 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsCelta Vigo 11 fouls, Osasuna 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bryan Zaragoza · Osasuna · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosé Manuel Arnáiz · Osasuna · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMoi Gómez · Osasuna · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torró · Osasuna · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIlaix Moriba · Celta Vigo · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSergio Carreira · Celta Vigo · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJorge Herrando · Osasuna · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Osasuna · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Osasuna · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLucas Torró · Osasuna · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Osasuna · 6′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 7′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIlaix Moriba · Celta Vigo · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Osasuna · 25′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 47′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 57′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRubén Peña · Osasuna · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 80′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJosé Manuel Arnáiz · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.13 xG · on targetEnzo Boyomo · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 56′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedCarl Starfelt · Celta Vigo · 57′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 41′ · 0.21 xG · on targetRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 82′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 69′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.83 xG. Osasuna: 18 shots, 1 on target, 1.19 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Iago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 1.83 xG · Osasuna 1.19 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Celta Vigo
1Draws
3Osasuna
Osasuna — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–2
Osasuna — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–3
Celta Vigo — Osasuna · La Liga0–2
Osasuna — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–0
Celta Vigo — Osasuna · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Osasuna in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo25 matchesOsasuna25 matches
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.16 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.41 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.1 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots25/2510.8 shots/match
4.32 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/253.24 shots/match
53.7% ●Possession25/2546.1%
3.6 corners/matchCorners25/25● 4.32 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls25/2513.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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