La Liga · 2024Fri, 21 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Celta Vigo

LDLWD

1–0Full-time recap

Osasuna

DDWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Celta Vigo	Osasuna
Shots	12 shots/match	18 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	1.96 xG/match▲	1.03 xG/match
Possession	46%	54%●
Corners	5 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Celta Vigo: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.83 xG. Osasuna: 18 shots, 1 on target, 1.19 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 1.83 xG · Osasuna 1.19 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Osasuna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Osasuna's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	15 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible away split

moderate

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.75 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.75 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Celta Vigo

1Draws

3Osasuna

1 Sept 2024Osasuna — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–2

4 Feb 2024Osasuna — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–3

13 Aug 2023Celta Vigo — Osasuna · La Liga0–2

6 Mar 2023Osasuna — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–0

5 Nov 2022Celta Vigo — Osasuna · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Osasuna in 1 · 4 too close

1.44 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 25/251.16 goals/match

1.52 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 25/25▲1.36 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 25/251.1 xG/match

1.12 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 25/251.41 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 25/2510.8 shots/match

11 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 25/2512 shots/match

4.32 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 25/253.24 shots/match

3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 25/254.92 shots/match

53.7%●Possessionseason · 25/2546.1%

3.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 25/25●4.32 corners/match

4.04 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 25/255.28 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/2513.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/2520%

88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 25/2576%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo77.5

Osasuna32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo64.2

Osasuna35.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo42.5

Osasuna34.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo27.5

Osasuna52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo37.5

Osasuna67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo17.5

Osasuna37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo43.8

Osasuna42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Celta Vigo25 matchesOsasuna25 matches

1.44 goals/match▲Goals scored25/251.16 goals/match

1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲1.36 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goals25/251.1 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShots25/2510.8 shots/match

4.32 shots/match▲Shots on target25/253.24 shots/match

53.7%●Possession25/2546.1%

3.6 corners/matchCorners25/25●4.32 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls25/2513.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Celta Vigo13 matchesOsasuna12 matches

1.69 goals/match▲Goals scored13/120.58 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/121.42 goals/match

1.49 xG/match▲Expected goals13/120.73 xG/match

10.7 shots/match▲Shots13/128.75 shots/match

4.92 shots/match▲Shots on target13/121.92 shots/match

51.6%●Possession13/1244.8%

3.69 corners/match●Corners13/123.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls13/1213.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.2 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples25 / 25home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4