La Liga · 2024

Villarreal 1–1 Valencia · La Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Villarreal and Valencia drew 1–1.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.411.07
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Villarreal and Valencia drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Villarreal – Valencia): shots 13–12, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.41–1.07, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible away split

moderate

Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.58 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match9.58 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsVillarreal · Valencia9.58 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealValenciaBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match9.58 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match10.8 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsVillarreal 13 shots, Valencia 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsVillarreal 4 shots, Valencia 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.41 xG1.07 xGVillarreal 1.41 xG, Valencia 1.07 xG
  • Possession50%50%Villarreal 50%, Valencia 50%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersVillarreal 4 corners, Valencia 5 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls17 foulsVillarreal 6 fouls, Valencia 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pau Navarro · Villarreal · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Valencia · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Valencia · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosé Luis Gayà · Valencia · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIván Jaime · Valencia · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 32′ · 0.03 xG · goalDiego López · Valencia · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPepelu · Valencia · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYéremy Pino · Villarreal · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 72′ · 0.06 xG · on targetUmar Sadiq · Valencia · 84′ · 0.09 xG · goalRafa Mir · Valencia · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 23′ · 0.12 xG · on targetSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 85′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 36′ · 0.13 xG · on targetPepelu · Valencia · 60′ · 0.14 xG · on targetPape Gueye · Villarreal · 42′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 66′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 66′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedRafa Mir · Valencia · 84′ · 0.57 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Villarreal: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.38 xG. Valencia: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Pape Gueye · Villarreal · 32′Umar Sadiq · Valencia · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 1.38 xG · Valencia 1.10 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Villarreal
2Draws
1Valencia
Valencia — Villarreal · La Liga1–1
Villarreal — Valencia · La Liga1–0
Valencia — Villarreal · La Liga3–1
Valencia — Villarreal · La Liga1–1
Villarreal — Valencia · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Villarreal favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Valencia in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Villarreal24 matchesValencia24 matches
1.96 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.04 goals/match
1.46 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.58 goals/match
1.8 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/241.08 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots24/249.58 shots/match
4.79 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.08 shots/match
48.3% ●Possession24/2446.7%
4.75 corners/matchCorners24/24● 5.42 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls24/2412 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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