PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sun, 9 Feb 2025, 15:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricValenciaLeganés
Shots18 shots/match▲12 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.8 xG/match▲0.46 xG/match
Possession44%56%●
Corners9 corners/match●3 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Javier Guerra · Valencia · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Valencia · 41′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDiego López · Valencia · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosé Luis Gayà · Valencia · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDani Raba · Leganés · 4′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMouctar Diakhaby · Valencia · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMouctar Diakhaby · Valencia · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiego García · Leganés · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDuk · Leganés · 84′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDani Raba · Leganés · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedValentin Rosier · Leganés · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValentin Rosier · Leganés · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMiguel de la Fuente · Leganés · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJorge Sáenz · Leganés · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Rodríguez · Leganés · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Rodríguez · Leganés · 82′ · 0.06 xG · on targetHugo Duro · Valencia · 26′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYvan Neyou · Leganés · 86′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedUmar Sadiq · Valencia · 70′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 65′ · 0.13 xG · on targetUmar Sadiq · Valencia · 72′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDarko Brašanac · Leganés · 32′ · 0.14 xG · on targetCristhian Mosquera · Valencia · 30′ · 0.18 xG · goalHugo Duro · Valencia · 49′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Barrenechea · Valencia · 66′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJosé Luis Gayà · Valencia · 63′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedMouctar Diakhaby · Valencia · 41′ · 0.37 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Valencia: 19 shots, 4 on target, 1.89 xG. Leganés: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Cristhian Mosquera · Valencia · 30′Mouctar Diakhaby · Valencia · 41′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 1.89 xG · Leganés 0.54 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leganés's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Leganés's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leganés's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible home split

moderate

Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.2 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season9.48 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match9.48 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Leganés show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Leganés's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.48 shots/match▲ShotsValencia · Leganés8.04 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricValenciaLeganésBaseline
Shots9.48 shots/match8.04 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match15.6 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Valencia
1Draws
0Leganés
Leganés — Valencia · La Liga0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Valencia favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Leganés in 2 · 2 too close

1.04 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 23/230.83 goals/match
1.61 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/23▲1.39 goals/match
1.09 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 23/230.76 xG/match
1.5 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 23/231.64 xG/match
9.48 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 23/238.04 shots/match
10.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 23/2315.6 shots/match
3.09 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 23/232.74 shots/match
3.74 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 23/234.78 shots/match
46.5%●Possessionseason · 23/2341.7%
5.43 corners/match●Cornersseason · 23/232.7 corners/match
4.96 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 23/236.65 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2313 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/23▲30%
70%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2357%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valencia37.5
Leganés7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valencia22.5
Leganés9.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valencia45.8
Leganés25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valencia22.5
Leganés12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valencia32.5
Leganés57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valencia77.5
Leganés2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valencia36.2
Leganés18.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Valencia23 matchesLeganés23 matches
1.04 goals/match▲Goals scored23/230.83 goals/match
1.61 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲1.39 goals/match
1.09 xG/match▲Expected goals23/230.76 xG/match
9.48 shots/match▲Shots23/238.04 shots/match
3.09 shots/match▲Shots on target23/232.74 shots/match
46.5%●Possession23/2341.7%
5.43 corners/match●Corners23/232.7 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.7 fouls/matchFouls23/2313 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Valencia12 matchesLeganés12 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored12/120.83 goals/match
1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.33 goals/match
1.3 xG/match▲Expected goals12/120.66 xG/match
11.2 shots/match▲Shots12/127.92 shots/match
4.08 shots/match▲Shots on target12/123 shots/match
46.7%●Possession12/1240.1%
6.58 corners/match●Corners12/123.08 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1213.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.8 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Feb 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsValenciaLeganés
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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