La Liga · 2024Sun, 9 Feb 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal SociedadEspanyol
Shots13 shots/match4 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals1.49 xG/match0.87 xG/match
Possession70%30%
Corners6 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match17 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Antoniu Roca · Espanyol · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuka Sučić · Real Sociedad · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSheraldo Becker · Real Sociedad · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJavi Puado · Espanyol · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJon Aramburu · Real Sociedad · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarash Kumbulla · Espanyol · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuka Sučić · Real Sociedad · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSergio Gómez · Real Sociedad · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAritz Elustondo · Real Sociedad · 41′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJon Aramburu · Real Sociedad · 80′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJon Aramburu · Real Sociedad · 87′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSheraldo Becker · Real Sociedad · 1′ · 0.14 xG · goalBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 84′ · 0.36 xG · goalLuka Sučić · Real Sociedad · 18′ · 0.66 xG · on targetJavi Puado · Espanyol · 53′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Sociedad: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.65 xG. Espanyol: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.90 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Sheraldo Becker · Real Sociedad · 1′Brais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 84′Javi Puado · Espanyol · 53′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Sociedad 1.65 xG · Espanyol 0.90 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Espanyol's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Real Sociedad have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Espanyol's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Espanyol's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.96 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Real Sociedad have recorded the higher season possession share.

57%PossessionReal Sociedad · Espanyol38.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricReal SociedadEspanyolBaseline
Possession57%38.7%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Real Sociedad show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Sociedad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/matchShotsReal Sociedad · Espanyol9.26 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal SociedadEspanyolBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match9.26 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match15 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Real Sociedad
0Draws
1Espanyol
EspanyolReal Sociedad · La Liga01
EspanyolReal Sociedad · La Liga23
Real SociedadEspanyol · La Liga21
Real SociedadEspanyol · La Liga10
EspanyolReal Sociedad · La Liga10

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Espanyol in 2 · 2 too close

0.87 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 23/230.96 goals/match
0.87 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/231.52 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 23/230.86 xG/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 23/231.63 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/239.26 shots/match
10.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 23/2315 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 23/232.39 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/235.17 shots/match
57%Possessionseason · 23/2338.7%
5.91 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/233.65 corners/match
4.48 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/235.43 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2314.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
48%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/2313%
57%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2365%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad82.5
Espanyol2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad35.8
Espanyol15.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad75
Espanyol15.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad7.5
Espanyol62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad77.5
Espanyol82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad92.5
Espanyol17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad63.8
Espanyol30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Sociedad23 matchesEspanyol23 matches
0.87 goals/matchGoals scored23/230.96 goals/match
0.87 goals/matchGoals allowed23/231.52 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals23/230.86 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots23/239.26 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target23/232.39 shots/match
57%Possession23/2338.7%
5.91 corners/matchCorners23/233.65 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.4 fouls/matchFouls23/2314.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Sociedad12 matchesEspanyol11 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored12/110.55 goals/match
1.08 goals/matchGoals allowed12/112 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals12/110.62 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots12/118 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target12/111.45 shots/match
57.3%Possession12/1137.5%
6.5 corners/matchCorners12/112.91 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.9 fouls/matchFouls12/1114.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Feb 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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