PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Sevilla 1–4 Barcelona · La Liga

Sevilla

LDWDD
1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Barcelona won 1–4.

Shots
810
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
0.791.93
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Barcelona beat Sevilla 4–1. Recorded in this match (Sevilla – Barcelona): shots 8–10, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 0.79–1.93, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsSevilla · Barcelona16.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSevillaBarcelonaBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match16.7 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match8.43 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sevilla's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.2%PossessionSevilla · Barcelona● 67.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSevillaBarcelonaBaseline
Possession53.2%67.7%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots10 shotsSevilla 8 shots, Barcelona 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsSevilla 4 shots, Barcelona 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.79 xG1.93 xGSevilla 0.79 xG, Barcelona 1.93 xG
  • Possession40%60%Sevilla 40%, Barcelona 60%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersSevilla 5 corners, Barcelona 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls6 foulsSevilla 14 fouls, Barcelona 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lamine Yamal · Barcelona · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNemanja Gudelj · Sevilla · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLoïc Badé · Sevilla · 78′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSuso · Sevilla · 85′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRaphinha · Barcelona · 15′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · Sevilla · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLoïc Badé · Sevilla · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 55′ · 0.06 xG · goalLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 7′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJules Koundé · Barcelona · 42′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 45′ · 0.09 xG · on targetKike Salas · Sevilla · 79′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · Sevilla · 8′ · 0.38 xG · goalFermín López · Barcelona · 46′ · 0.42 xG · goalEric García · Barcelona · 89′ · 0.52 xG · goalRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 7′ · 0.66 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sevilla: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.71 xG. Barcelona: 10 shots, 6 on target, 1.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Rubén Vargas · Sevilla · 8′Robert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 7′Fermín López · Barcelona · 46′Raphinha · Barcelona · 55′Eric García · Barcelona · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sevilla 0.71 xG · Barcelona 1.97 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sevilla
0Draws
5Barcelona
Barcelona — Sevilla · La Liga5–1
Sevilla — Barcelona · La Liga1–2
Barcelona — Sevilla · La Liga1–0
Barcelona — Sevilla · La Liga3–0
Sevilla — Barcelona · La Liga0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sevilla favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Barcelona in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sevilla23 matchesBarcelona23 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 2.78 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.09 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 2.5 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 16.7 shots/match
3.78 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 6.57 shots/match
53.2%Possession23/23● 67.7%
5.35 corners/matchCorners23/23● 6.52 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls23/238.96 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 10 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSevillaBarcelona
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headSevilla — Barcelona
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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