La Liga · 2024Sat, 15 Feb 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
33Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLeganésDeportivo Alavés
Shots8 shots/match16 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match7 shots/match
Expected goals1.81 xG/match1.77 xG/match
Possession42%58%
Corners3 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls18 fouls/match15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Antonio Blanco · Deportivo Alavés · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJon Guridi · Deportivo Alavés · 21′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNahuel Tenaglia · Deportivo Alavés · 38′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNahuel Tenaglia · Deportivo Alavés · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRenato Tapia · Leganés · 61′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKike García · Deportivo Alavés · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cruz · Leganés · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Blanco · Deportivo Alavés · 64′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJavier Hernández · Leganés · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedToni Martínez · Deportivo Alavés · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Mouriño · Deportivo Alavés · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiego García · Leganés · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoan Jordán · Deportivo Alavés · 68′ · 0.05 xG · goalJon Guridi · Deportivo Alavés · 4′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSergio González · Leganés · 2′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedManuel Sánchez · Deportivo Alavés · 22′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMunir El Haddadi · Leganés · 88′ · 0.08 xG · goalKike García · Deportivo Alavés · 25′ · 0.10 xG · goalCarles Aleñá · Deportivo Alavés · 22′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Vicente · Deportivo Alavés · 79′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedManuel Sánchez · Deportivo Alavés · 22′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedDani Raba · Leganés · 10′ · 0.82 xG · goalDani Raba · Leganés · 37′ · 0.82 xG · goalJoan Jordán · Deportivo Alavés · 50′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Leganés: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.90 xG. Deportivo Alavés: 16 shots, 7 on target, 1.78 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Dani Raba · Leganés · 10′Dani Raba · Leganés · 37′Munir El Haddadi · Leganés · 88′Kike García · Deportivo Alavés · 25′Joan Jordán · Deportivo Alavés · 50′Joan Jordán · Deportivo Alavés · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leganés 1.90 xG · Deportivo Alavés 1.78 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Leganés's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Deportivo Alavés's recent record differs from the season

weak

Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Leganés show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Leganés's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.04 shots/matchShotsLeganés · Deportivo Alavés10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLeganésDeportivo AlavésBaseline
Shots8.04 shots/match10.5 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match9.75 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Leganés
1Draws
0Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo AlavésLeganés · La Liga11

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Leganés favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Alavés in 9 · 2 too close

0.92 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 24/241.17 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 24/241.58 goals/match
0.81 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 24/241.12 xG/match
1.65 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 24/241.26 xG/match
8.04 shots/matchShotsseason · 24/2410.5 shots/match
15.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/249.75 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 24/243.42 shots/match
4.88 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/243.88 shots/match
41.7%Possessionseason · 24/2444.9%
2.71 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/244.38 corners/match
6.46 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/244.54 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2416.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/2413%
58%Scoring frequencyseason · 24/2467%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leganés7.5
Deportivo Alavés22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leganés12.5
Deportivo Alavés36.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leganés23.3
Deportivo Alavés50.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leganés12.5
Deportivo Alavés47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leganés62.5
Deportivo Alavés92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leganés2.5
Deportivo Alavés42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leganés20
Deportivo Alavés50.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Leganés24 matchesDeportivo Alavés24 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored24/241.17 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed24/241.58 goals/match
0.81 xG/matchExpected goals24/241.12 xG/match
8.04 shots/matchShots24/2410.5 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target24/243.42 shots/match
41.7%Possession24/2444.9%
2.71 corners/matchCorners24/244.38 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.2 fouls/matchFouls24/2416.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Leganés12 matchesDeportivo Alavés13 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored12/131.38 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed12/132 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals12/131.18 xG/match
8.17 shots/matchShots12/1310.5 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target12/133.54 shots/match
43.3%Possession12/1343.3%
2.33 corners/matchCorners12/132.92 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls12/1317.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Feb 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match