La Liga · 2024

Valencia 2–1 Celta Vigo · La Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Valencia won 2–1.

Shots
83
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.740.46
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Valencia beat Celta Vigo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Valencia – Celta Vigo): shots 8–3, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.74–0.46, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

weak

Valencia's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.09 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7 shots/match9.09 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible home split

moderate

Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.09 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match9.09 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots3 shotsValencia 8 shots, Celta Vigo 3 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsValencia 5 shots, Celta Vigo 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.74 xG0.46 xGValencia 1.74 xG, Celta Vigo 0.46 xG
  • Possession46%54%Valencia 46%, Celta Vigo 54%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersValencia 5 corners, Celta Vigo 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls17 foulsValencia 9 fouls, Celta Vigo 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Diego López · Valencia · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFran Pérez · Valencia · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlfon González · Celta Vigo · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJavier Guerra · Valencia · 68′ · 0.05 xG · goalBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 12′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJosé Luis Gayà · Valencia · 64′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMouctar Diakhaby · Valencia · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetLuis Rioja · Valencia · 44′ · 0.25 xG · goalPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 65′ · 0.30 xG · goalHugo Duro · Valencia · 42′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 64′ · 0.57 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Valencia: 8 shots, 5 on target, 1.62 xG. Celta Vigo: 3 shots, 2 on target, 0.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Luis Rioja · Valencia · 44′Javier Guerra · Valencia · 68′Pablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 1.62 xG · Celta Vigo 0.40 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Valencia
2Draws
1Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Valencia · La Liga3–1
Celta Vigo — Valencia · La Liga2–2
Valencia — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–0
Celta Vigo — Valencia · La Liga1–2
Valencia — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Valencia favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Valencia22 matchesCelta Vigo22 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.41 goals/match
1.68 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 1.59 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.33 xG/match
9.09 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 11 shots/match
3.05 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 4.23 shots/match
46.6%Possession22/22● 53.4%
5.27 corners/match ●Corners22/223.36 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Feb 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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