PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Deportivo Alavés 1–1 Celta Vigo · La Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Deportivo Alavés and Celta Vigo drew 1–1.

Shots
35
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
0.950.12
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportivo Alavés and Celta Vigo drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Alavés – Celta Vigo): shots 3–5, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 0.95–0.12, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.43 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Celta Vigo have recorded the higher season possession share.

44%PossessionDeportivo Alavés · Celta Vigo● 53.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo AlavésCelta VigoBaseline
Possession44%53.4%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots3 shots5 shotsDeportivo Alavés 3 shots, Celta Vigo 5 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsDeportivo Alavés 1 shot, Celta Vigo 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.95 xG0.12 xGDeportivo Alavés 0.95 xG, Celta Vigo 0.12 xG
  • Possession50%50%Deportivo Alavés 50%, Celta Vigo 50%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersDeportivo Alavés 3 corners, Celta Vigo 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls14 foulsDeportivo Alavés 15 fouls, Celta Vigo 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sergio Carreira · Celta Vigo · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 66′ · 0.02 xG · goalWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 48′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSergio Carreira · Celta Vigo · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Vicente · Deportivo Alavés · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAbdel Abqar · Deportivo Alavés · 49′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKike García · Deportivo Alavés · 6′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Deportivo Alavés: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.99 xG. Celta Vigo: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Kike García · Deportivo Alavés · 6′Pablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Deportivo Alavés 0.99 xG · Celta Vigo 0.13 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Deportivo Alavés
1Draws
3Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga2–1
Deportivo Alavés — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–0
Celta Vigo — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga1–1
Celta Vigo — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga4–0
Deportivo Alavés — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Alavés favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Alavés21 matchesCelta Vigo21 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed21/211.57 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.37 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 11.4 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 4.33 shots/match
44%Possession21/21● 53.4%
4.43 corners/match ●Corners21/213.43 corners/match
16.1 fouls/matchFouls21/2111.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 28 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo AlavésCelta Vigo
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headDeportivo Alavés — Celta Vigo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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