La Liga · 2024Sun, 26 Jan 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Athletic Club

WWDWW

0–0Full-time recap

Leganés

LWLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Athletic Club	Leganés
Shots	29 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.08 xG/match▲	0.86 xG/match
Possession	68%●	32%
Corners	16 corners/match●	1 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Athletic Club: 29 shots, 3 on target, 2.08 xG. Leganés: 5 shots, 2 on target, 1.06 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 2.08 xG · Leganés 1.06 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leganés's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Athletic Club's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Leganés show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Leganés's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match▲ShotsAthletic Club · Leganés8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Athletic Club	Leganés	Baseline
Shots	12.6 shots/match	8 shots/match	11.4 shots/match
Shots against	8.38 shots/match	15.3 shots/match	11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

weak

Athletic Club's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	15.4 shots/match	12.6 shots/match	11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Athletic Club

0Draws

0Leganés

19 Sept 2024Leganés — Athletic Club · La Liga0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Leganés in 1 · 2 too close

1.48 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 21/210.9 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 21/211.38 goals/match

1.44 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 21/210.77 xG/match

0.95 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 21/211.61 xG/match

12.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 21/218 shots/match

8.38 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 21/2115.3 shots/match

4.1 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 21/212.76 shots/match

2.9 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 21/214.9 shots/match

48.3%●Possessionseason · 21/2141.3%

5.33 corners/match●Cornersseason · 21/212.71 corners/match

3.86 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 21/216.43 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/2113.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/21▲33%

86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 21/2162%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club47.5

Leganés7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club72.5

Leganés11.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club90

Leganés26.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club87.5

Leganés12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club57.5

Leganés70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club77.5

Leganés2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club68.8

Leganés21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Athletic Club21 matchesLeganés21 matches

1.48 goals/match▲Goals scored21/210.9 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed21/211.38 goals/match

1.44 xG/match▲Expected goals21/210.77 xG/match

12.6 shots/match▲Shots21/218 shots/match

4.1 shots/match▲Shots on target21/212.76 shots/match

48.3%●Possession21/2141.3%

5.33 corners/match●Corners21/212.71 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13 fouls/matchFouls21/2113.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Athletic Club11 matchesLeganés11 matches

1.45 goals/match▲Goals scored11/110.91 goals/match

0.64 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.27 goals/match

1.49 xG/match▲Expected goals11/110.68 xG/match

12.7 shots/match▲Shots11/117.55 shots/match

4.27 shots/match▲Shots on target11/112.91 shots/match

48.8%●Possession11/1138.6%

5.27 corners/match●Corners11/113.09 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.8 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.19 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.09 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples21 / 21home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jan 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4