La Liga · 2024Sat, 25 Jan 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Sevilla

LWLDW
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSevillaEspanyol
Shots25 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals1.2 xG/match0.69 xG/match
Possession75%25%
Corners5 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Rubén Vargas · Sevilla · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSaúl Ñíguez · Sevilla · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLoïc Badé · Sevilla · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSaúl Ñíguez · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNemanja Gudelj · Sevilla · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNemanja Gudelj · Sevilla · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetChidera Ejuke · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 23′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDjibril Sow · Sevilla · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLoïc Badé · Sevilla · 61′ · 0.03 xG · goalSaúl Ñíguez · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLoïc Badé · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 53′ · 0.04 xG · on targetÁlvaro Tejero · Espanyol · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChidera Ejuke · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · Sevilla · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Cabrera · Espanyol · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSaúl Ñíguez · Sevilla · 47′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSaúl Ñíguez · Sevilla · 69′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarash Kumbulla · Espanyol · 70′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJuanlu Sánchez · Sevilla · 41′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPeque Fernández · Sevilla · 23′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLoïc Badé · Sevilla · 24′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJuanlu Sánchez · Sevilla · 41′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDjibril Sow · Sevilla · 81′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJofre Carreras · Espanyol · 38′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedFernando Calero · Espanyol · 87′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedMarash Kumbulla · Espanyol · 15′ · 0.21 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sevilla: 25 shots, 4 on target, 1.20 xG. Espanyol: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Loïc Badé · Sevilla · 61′Marash Kumbulla · Espanyol · 15′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sevilla 1.20 xG · Espanyol 0.70 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Sevilla show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/matchShotsSevilla · Espanyol9.71 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSevillaEspanyolBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match9.71 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match14.8 shots/match10.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Sevilla have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.7%PossessionSevilla · Espanyol39.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSevillaEspanyolBaseline
Possession53.7%39.9%48.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Sevilla
1Draws
0Espanyol
EspanyolSevilla · La Liga02
SevillaEspanyol · La Liga32
EspanyolSevilla · La Liga23
EspanyolSevilla · La Liga11
SevillaEspanyol · La Liga20

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sevilla favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Espanyol in 0 · 2 too close

1.14 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 21/210.95 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 21/211.57 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 21/210.88 xG/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 21/211.63 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 21/219.71 shots/match
10.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 21/2114.8 shots/match
3.9 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 21/212.48 shots/match
3.95 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 21/215.19 shots/match
53.7%Possessionseason · 21/2139.9%
5.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/213.95 corners/match
4.24 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 21/215.29 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/2114 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/2110%
81%Scoring frequencyseason · 21/2162%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sevilla77.5
Espanyol2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sevilla59.2
Espanyol19.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sevilla48.3
Espanyol12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sevilla52.5
Espanyol57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sevilla47.5
Espanyol82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sevilla82.5
Espanyol22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sevilla66.2
Espanyol32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sevilla21 matchesEspanyol21 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored21/210.95 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed21/211.57 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals21/210.88 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots21/219.71 shots/match
3.9 shots/matchShots on target21/212.48 shots/match
53.7%Possession21/2139.9%
5.38 corners/matchCorners21/213.95 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.2 fouls/matchFouls21/2114 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sevilla11 matchesEspanyol10 matches
0.91 goals/matchGoals scored11/100.5 goals/match
0.91 goals/matchGoals allowed11/102 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals11/100.6 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots11/108.4 shots/match
4.18 shots/matchShots on target11/101.5 shots/match
56.5%Possession11/1038.2%
5.73 corners/matchCorners11/103.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.9 fouls/matchFouls11/1014.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.19 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.9 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jan 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Sevilla vs Espanyol — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath