La Liga · 2024

Barcelona 1–0 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Barcelona won 1–0.

Shots
149
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
2.560.97
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Barcelona beat Rayo Vallecano 1–0. Recorded in this match (Barcelona – Rayo Vallecano): shots 14–9, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.56–0.97, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsBarcelona · Rayo Vallecano13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaRayo VallecanoBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match13 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against8.46 shots/match12.7 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

67.4% ●PossessionBarcelona · Rayo Vallecano49.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaRayo VallecanoBaseline
Possession67.4%49.9%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Rayo Vallecano have a visible away split

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match13 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots9 shotsBarcelona 14 shots, Rayo Vallecano 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsBarcelona 5 shots, Rayo Vallecano 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.56 xG0.97 xGBarcelona 2.56 xG, Rayo Vallecano 0.97 xG
  • Possession60%40%Barcelona 60%, Rayo Vallecano 40%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersBarcelona 4 corners, Rayo Vallecano 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsBarcelona 11 fouls, Rayo Vallecano 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 82′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 8′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAbdul Mumin · Rayo Vallecano · 14′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 77′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRaphinha · Barcelona · 20′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 78′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSergi Guardiola · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 71′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 37′ · 0.12 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 53′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 67′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 30′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 60′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 30′ · 0.15 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 4′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 72′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 37′ · 0.25 xG · on targetJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 23′ · 0.27 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 28′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Barcelona: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.42 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Robert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 28′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Barcelona 2.42 xG · Rayo Vallecano 1.01 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Barcelona
2Draws
1Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano — Barcelona · La Liga1–2
Barcelona — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga3–0
Rayo Vallecano — Barcelona · La Liga1–1
Rayo Vallecano — Barcelona · La Liga2–1
Barcelona — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Barcelona favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Barcelona24 matchesRayo Vallecano24 matches
2.71 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.13 goals/match
1.04 goals/matchGoals allowed24/241.04 goals/match
2.5 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/241.24 xG/match
16.6 shots/match ▲Shots24/2413 shots/match
6.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.79 shots/match
67.4% ●Possession24/2449.9%
6.42 corners/match ●Corners24/245.13 corners/match
9.04 fouls/matchFouls24/2414.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 18 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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