La Liga · 2024Sun, 16 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Real Betis

LLWDL

3–0Full-time recap

Real Sociedad

WLLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Betis	Real Sociedad
Shots	24 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	2.45 xG/match▲	0.34 xG/match
Possession	69%●	31%
Corners	5 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Real Betis: 24 shots, 8 on target, 2.39 xG. Real Sociedad: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Betis 2.39 xG · Real Sociedad 0.37 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Real Betis's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.25 goals/match	1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis have a visible home split

moderate

Real Betis's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.3 shots/match	13.4 shots/match	11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Real Betis

2Draws

2Real Sociedad

1 Dec 2024Real Sociedad — Real Betis · La Liga2–0

19 May 2024Real Betis — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–2

17 Dec 2023Real Sociedad — Real Betis · La Liga0–0

25 Apr 2023Real Betis — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–0

30 Oct 2022Real Sociedad — Real Betis · La Liga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Betis favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 3 · 4 too close

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 24/240.83 goals/match

1.29 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 24/24▲0.96 goals/match

1.46 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 24/241.16 xG/match

1.32 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 24/24▲1.12 xG/match

13.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 24/2410.6 shots/match

10.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/2411.3 shots/match

4.71 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 24/243.46 shots/match

3.54 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/243.38 shots/match

51.8%Possessionseason · 24/24●56%

4.79 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/24●5.88 corners/match

4.04 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 24/244.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2413.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/24▲46%

79%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 24/2454%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Betis62.5

Real Sociedad82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Betis75.8

Real Sociedad31.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Betis59.2

Real Sociedad65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Betis72.5

Real Sociedad7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Betis32.5

Real Sociedad77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Betis52.5

Real Sociedad92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Betis62.5

Real Sociedad63.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Betis24 matchesReal Sociedad24 matches

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored24/240.83 goals/match

1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲0.96 goals/match

1.46 xG/match▲Expected goals24/241.16 xG/match

13.4 shots/match▲Shots24/2410.6 shots/match

4.71 shots/match▲Shots on target24/243.46 shots/match

51.8%Possession24/24●56%

4.79 corners/matchCorners24/24●5.88 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls24/2413.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Betis12 matchesReal Sociedad12 matches

1.58 goals/match▲Goals scored12/120.67 goals/match

1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲0.83 goals/match

1.88 xG/match▲Expected goals12/120.97 xG/match

16.3 shots/match▲Shots12/129.5 shots/match

5.75 shots/match▲Shots on target12/122.75 shots/match

53.9%Possession12/12●54.7%

5.25 corners/matchCorners12/125.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls12/1213.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.29 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples24 / 24home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 17 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4