PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sun, 16 Feb 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
3–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMallorcaLas Palmas
Shots14 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Expected goals2.1 xG/match▲0.95 xG/match
Possession49%51%●
Corners3 corners/match5 corners/match●
Fouls7 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Sergi Darder · Mallorca · 39′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRobert Navarro · Mallorca · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAndy Pelmard · Las Palmas · 77′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Loiodice · Las Palmas · 8′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRobert Navarro · Mallorca · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 39′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 51′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAntonio Sánchez · Mallorca · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedScott McKenna · Las Palmas · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 7′ · 0.07 xG · goalDani Rodríguez · Mallorca · 35′ · 0.08 xG · goalTakuma Asano · Mallorca · 49′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDani Rodríguez · Mallorca · 41′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJaime Mata · Las Palmas · 82′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 28′ · 0.10 xG · goalAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 82′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDani Rodríguez · Mallorca · 54′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedTakuma Asano · Mallorca · 21′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedDani Rodríguez · Mallorca · 33′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedStefan Bajčetić · Las Palmas · 62′ · 0.20 xG · goalJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 3′ · 0.27 xG · on targetVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 55′ · 0.61 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Mallorca: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.66 xG. Las Palmas: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Vedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 7′Vedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 28′Dani Rodríguez · Mallorca · 35′Stefan Bajčetić · Las Palmas · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Mallorca 1.66 xG · Las Palmas 0.84 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Las Palmas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Las Palmas have a visible away split

moderate

Las Palmas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.5 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

weak

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Mallorca show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Mallorca's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/match▲ShotsMallorca · Las Palmas11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMallorcaLas PalmasBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against13.6 shots/match15 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Mallorca
1Draws
0Las Palmas
Las Palmas — Mallorca · La Liga2–3
Mallorca — Las Palmas · La Liga1–0
Las Palmas — Mallorca · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Mallorca favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 5 · 2 too close

0.96 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 24/24▲1.21 goals/match
1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 24/241.71 goals/match
1.1 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 24/241 xG/match
1.15 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 24/241.93 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 24/24▲11.3 shots/match
13.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 24/2415 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 24/24▲4.04 shots/match
3.88 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 24/244.79 shots/match
46%Possessionseason · 24/24●52.4%
4.17 corners/match●Cornersseason · 24/244 corners/match
5.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/24▲5.25 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2412.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/2413%
63%Scoring frequencyseason · 24/24▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Mallorca32.5
Las Palmas67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Mallorca30
Las Palmas55.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Mallorca43.3
Las Palmas15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Mallorca37.5
Las Palmas32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Mallorca27.5
Las Palmas52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Mallorca32.5
Las Palmas27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Mallorca31.2
Las Palmas48.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Mallorca24 matchesLas Palmas24 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲1.21 goals/match
1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed24/241.71 goals/match
1.1 xG/match▲Expected goals24/241 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots24/24▲11.3 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲4.04 shots/match
46%Possession24/24●52.4%
4.17 corners/match●Corners24/244 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.6 fouls/matchFouls24/2412.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Mallorca13 matchesLas Palmas12 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored13/12▲1.17 goals/match
1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/122 goals/match
1.06 xG/match▲Expected goals13/120.85 xG/match
10.9 shots/match▲Shots13/128.5 shots/match
3.46 shots/matchShots on target13/12▲3.67 shots/match
44%Possession13/12●49.3%
4.85 corners/match●Corners13/123.42 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
9.85 fouls/matchFouls13/1211.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Feb 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsMallorcaLas Palmas
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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