PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sat, 22 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
0–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLas PalmasBarcelona
Shots10 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.47 xG/match1.47 xG/match▲
Possession30%70%●
Corners5 corners/match●3 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match4 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Viti Rozada · Las Palmas · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Balde · Barcelona · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedStefan Bajčetić · Las Palmas · 2′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFermín López · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 14′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 28′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDário Essugo · Las Palmas · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEric García · Barcelona · 2′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFerran Torres · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 87′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 44′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 61′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 71′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMika Mármol · Las Palmas · 14′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 69′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 4′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedDani Olmo · Barcelona · 62′ · 0.46 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Las Palmas: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.45 xG. Barcelona: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Dani Olmo · Barcelona · 62′Ferran Torres · Barcelona · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Las Palmas 0.45 xG · Barcelona 1.44 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match▲ShotsLas Palmas · Barcelona16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLas PalmasBarcelonaBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match16.5 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match8.52 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.16 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Las Palmas have a visible home split

moderate

Las Palmas's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match11.2 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Las Palmas
0Draws
2Barcelona
Barcelona — Las Palmas · La Liga1–2
Barcelona — Las Palmas · La Liga1–0
Las Palmas — Barcelona · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Las Palmas favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Barcelona in 11 · 2 too close

1.16 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 25/25▲2.68 goals/match
1.72 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 25/25▲1 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 25/25▲2.46 xG/match
1.91 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 25/25▲1.14 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 25/25▲16.5 shots/match
15 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 25/25▲8.52 shots/match
3.96 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 25/25▲6.44 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 25/25▲3.24 shots/match
51.5%Possessionseason · 25/25●67.5%
4.04 corners/matchCornersseason · 25/25●6.28 corners/match
5.16 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 25/25▲4.52 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/258.84 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
12%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/25▲28%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 25/25▲92%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Las Palmas62.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Las Palmas55
Barcelona95.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Las Palmas15
Barcelona80.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Las Palmas32.5
Barcelona67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas52.5
Barcelona2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas27.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Las Palmas48.8
Barcelona72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Las Palmas25 matchesBarcelona25 matches
1.16 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲2.68 goals/match
1.72 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲1 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲2.46 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots25/25▲16.5 shots/match
3.96 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲6.44 shots/match
51.5%Possession25/25●67.5%
4.04 corners/matchCorners25/25●6.28 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.4 fouls/matchFouls25/258.84 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Las Palmas13 matchesBarcelona14 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored13/14▲2.71 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed13/14▲1.14 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals13/14▲2.26 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots13/14▲15.3 shots/match
4.23 shots/matchShots on target13/14▲6 shots/match
53.5%Possession13/14●65.3%
4.62 corners/matchCorners13/14●5.14 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13 fouls/matchFouls13/149.21 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLas PalmasBarcelona
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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