PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Fri, 28 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal ValladolidLas Palmas
Shots23 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals1.8 xG/match▲0.18 xG/match
Possession65%●35%
Corners13 corners/match●4 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

José Campaña · Las Palmas · 37′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 22′ · 0.02 xG · goalSelim Amallah · Real Valladolid · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTamás Nikitscher · Real Valladolid · 38′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMario Martín · Real Valladolid · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMario Martín · Real Valladolid · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcos André · Real Valladolid · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIván Sánchez · Real Valladolid · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMario Martín · Real Valladolid · 84′ · 0.03 xG · on targetViti Rozada · Las Palmas · 20′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAntonio Candela · Real Valladolid · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMario Martín · Real Valladolid · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Grillitsch · Real Valladolid · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJavi Sánchez · Real Valladolid · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJavi Sánchez · Real Valladolid · 68′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJuanmi Latasa · Real Valladolid · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMario Martín · Real Valladolid · 66′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMario Martín · Real Valladolid · 86′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAdam Aznou · Real Valladolid · 86′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDário Essugo · Las Palmas · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMarcos André · Real Valladolid · 77′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAnuar · Real Valladolid · 26′ · 0.14 xG · on targetRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 65′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJuanmi Latasa · Real Valladolid · 63′ · 0.22 xG · goalMario Martín · Real Valladolid · 89′ · 0.32 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Valladolid: 23 shots, 7 on target, 1.80 xG. Las Palmas: 4 shots, 3 on target, 0.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Juanmi Latasa · Real Valladolid · 63′Sandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 22′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Valladolid 1.80 xG · Las Palmas 0.18 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Las Palmas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Las Palmas have a visible away split

strong

Las Palmas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.15 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.15 shots/match10.9 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Las Palmas show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Las Palmas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.85 shots/match▲ShotsReal Valladolid · Las Palmas10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal ValladolidLas PalmasBaseline
Shots8.85 shots/match10.9 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against15.9 shots/match15.3 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Real Valladolid
0Draws
1Las Palmas
Las Palmas — Real Valladolid · La Liga2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Valladolid favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 7 · 5 too close

0.65 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/26▲1.15 goals/match
2.31 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/26▲1.69 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 26/26▲0.95 xG/match
1.81 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 26/261.91 xG/match
8.85 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/26▲10.9 shots/match
15.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/2615.3 shots/match
2.42 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 26/26▲3.92 shots/match
5.62 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/26▲4.88 shots/match
43.1%Possessionseason · 26/26●50.9%
3.88 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/26●4.04 corners/match
5.35 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/265.46 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2612.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
19%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/2612%
58%Scoring frequencyseason · 26/26▲81%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Valladolid17.5
Las Palmas57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Valladolid4.2
Las Palmas52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Valladolid2.5
Las Palmas12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Valladolid17.5
Las Palmas32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Valladolid62.5
Las Palmas47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Valladolid22.5
Las Palmas27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Valladolid23.8
Las Palmas46.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Valladolid26 matchesLas Palmas26 matches
0.65 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲1.15 goals/match
2.31 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲1.69 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲0.95 xG/match
8.85 shots/matchShots26/26▲10.9 shots/match
2.42 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲3.92 shots/match
43.1%Possession26/26●50.9%
3.88 corners/matchCorners26/26●4.04 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.9 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Valladolid13 matchesLas Palmas13 matches
0.62 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲1.15 goals/match
1.54 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.92 goals/match
0.97 xG/match▲Expected goals13/130.8 xG/match
10.5 shots/match▲Shots13/138.15 shots/match
2.46 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲3.62 shots/match
44.4%Possession13/13●48.2%
4.23 corners/match●Corners13/133.46 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.1 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.29 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal ValladolidLas Palmas
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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