La Liga · 2024Sun, 23 Feb 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Athletic Club

WDDWD

7–1Full-time recap

Real Valladolid

LLLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Athletic Club	Real Valladolid
Shots	29 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	16 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	3.8 xG/match▲	0.45 xG/match
Possession	57%●	43%
Corners	4 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	5 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Athletic Club: 29 shots, 16 on target, 4.04 xG. Real Valladolid: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 4.04 xG · Real Valladolid 0.49 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Athletic Club's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five shots average is above their season average.

21.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	21.4 shots/match	13.7 shots/match	11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletic Club show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match▲ShotsAthletic Club · Real Valladolid8.28 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Athletic Club	Real Valladolid	Baseline
Shots	13.7 shots/match	8.28 shots/match	11.2 shots/match
Shots against	8.24 shots/match	16.4 shots/match	11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Athletic Club

1Draws

0Real Valladolid

10 Nov 2024Real Valladolid — Athletic Club · La Liga1–1

17 Mar 2023Real Valladolid — Athletic Club · La Liga1–3

8 Nov 2022Athletic Club — Real Valladolid · La Liga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Real Valladolid in 0 · 2 too close

1.76 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 25/250.64 goals/match

0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 25/252.36 goals/match

1.59 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 25/250.83 xG/match

0.89 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 25/251.88 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 25/258.28 shots/match

8.24 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 25/2516.4 shots/match

4.72 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 25/252.24 shots/match

3 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 25/255.72 shots/match

49.1%●Possessionseason · 25/2542.2%

5.64 corners/match●Cornersseason · 25/253.52 corners/match

3.68 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 25/255.4 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/2513 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

28%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/2520%

88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 25/2556%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club47.5

Real Valladolid17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club82.5

Real Valladolid4.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club90.8

Real Valladolid2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club87.5

Real Valladolid17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club57.5

Real Valladolid62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club82.5

Real Valladolid12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club76.2

Real Valladolid21.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Athletic Club25 matchesReal Valladolid25 matches

1.76 goals/match▲Goals scored25/250.64 goals/match

0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowed25/252.36 goals/match

1.59 xG/match▲Expected goals25/250.83 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots25/258.28 shots/match

4.72 shots/match▲Shots on target25/252.24 shots/match

49.1%●Possession25/2542.2%

5.64 corners/match●Corners25/253.52 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFouls25/2513 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Athletic Club13 matchesReal Valladolid13 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored13/130.69 goals/match

0.62 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/133.08 goals/match

1.83 xG/match▲Expected goals13/130.77 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots13/137.15 shots/match

5.46 shots/match▲Shots on target13/132.38 shots/match

49.2%●Possession13/1341.8%

5.62 corners/match●Corners13/133.54 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.91 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples25 / 25home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Feb 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4