La Liga · 2024Sat, 3 May 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Las Palmas

DLWWL

2–3Full-time recap

Valencia

WWWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Las Palmas	Valencia
Shots	15 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.71 xG/match▲	1.35 xG/match
Possession	53%●	47%
Corners	9 corners/match●	5 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	6 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Las Palmas's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.18 goals/match	1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Las Palmas have a visible home split

moderate

Las Palmas's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.4 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Las Palmas

0Draws

1Valencia

21 Oct 2024Valencia — Las Palmas · La Liga2–3

10 Feb 2024Las Palmas — Valencia · La Liga2–0

18 Aug 2023Valencia — Las Palmas · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Las Palmas favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Valencia in 7 · 5 too close

1.18 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 34/341.18 goals/match

1.65 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/34▲1.5 goals/match

1 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 34/34▲1.14 xG/match

1.85 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 34/34▲1.41 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/3410.3 shots/match

14.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/34▲11.2 shots/match

3.79 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 34/343.29 shots/match

4.94 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/34▲3.88 shots/match

50.4%●Possessionseason · 34/3447.4%

3.97 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/34●5.09 corners/match

5.32 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/34▲4.97 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3411.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

12%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/34▲21%

79%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3476%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Las Palmas52.5

Valencia37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Las Palmas48.3

Valencia31.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Las Palmas14.2

Valencia39.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Las Palmas22.5

Valencia32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas32.5

Valencia27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas27.5

Valencia67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Las Palmas38.8

Valencia35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Las Palmas34 matchesValencia34 matches

1.18 goals/matchGoals scored34/341.18 goals/match

1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲1.5 goals/match

1 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲1.14 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots34/3410.3 shots/match

3.79 shots/match▲Shots on target34/343.29 shots/match

50.4%●Possession34/3447.4%

3.97 corners/matchCorners34/34●5.09 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.9 fouls/matchFouls34/3411.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Las Palmas17 matchesValencia17 matches

1.24 goals/match▲Goals scored17/171 goals/match

1.59 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/171.88 goals/match

1.2 xG/match▲Expected goals17/171.02 xG/match

13.4 shots/match▲Shots17/178.82 shots/match

4.24 shots/match▲Shots on target17/172.47 shots/match

53.1%●Possession17/1745.8%

4.82 corners/match●Corners17/174.06 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/111 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 May 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4