PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Real Valladolid 1–2 Barcelona · La Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Barcelona won 1–2.

Shots
524
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
0.591.93
Possession
19%81%

Full time

What the match recorded

Barcelona beat Real Valladolid 2–1. Recorded in this match (Real Valladolid – Barcelona): shots 5–24, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 0.59–1.93, possession 19%–81%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Valladolid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Valladolid's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.74 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.74 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.71 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Valladolid · Barcelona17.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal ValladolidBarcelonaBaseline
Shots8.71 shots/match17.8 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match7.65 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.3%PossessionReal Valladolid · Barcelona● 68.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 26.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricReal ValladolidBarcelonaBaseline
Possession42.3%68.9%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots24 shotsReal Valladolid 5 shots, Barcelona 24 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsReal Valladolid 4 shots, Barcelona 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.59 xG1.93 xGReal Valladolid 0.59 xG, Barcelona 1.93 xG
  • Possession19%81%Real Valladolid 19%, Barcelona 81%
  • Corners4 corners8 cornersReal Valladolid 4 corners, Barcelona 8 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsReal Valladolid 12 fouls, Barcelona 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dani Rodríguez · Barcelona · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHector Fort · Barcelona · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDani Rodríguez · Barcelona · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIván Sánchez · Real Valladolid · 6′ · 0.02 xG · goalGavi · Barcelona · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnsu Fati · Barcelona · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnsu Fati · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFermín López · Barcelona · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHector Fort · Barcelona · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 47′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCenk Özkaçar · Real Valladolid · 74′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDani Olmo · Barcelona · 88′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 44′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJuanmi Latasa · Real Valladolid · 67′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPau Víctor · Barcelona · 10′ · 0.10 xG · on targetPau Víctor · Barcelona · 15′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAnsu Fati · Barcelona · 30′ · 0.11 xG · on targetFermín López · Barcelona · 20′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 80′ · 0.16 xG · on targetGerard Martín · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedFermín López · Barcelona · 60′ · 0.20 xG · goalJuanmi Latasa · Real Valladolid · 74′ · 0.20 xG · on targetRaphinha · Barcelona · 54′ · 0.22 xG · goalRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 11′ · 0.27 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Valladolid: 5 shots, 4 on target, 0.66 xG. Barcelona: 24 shots, 7 on target, 1.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Iván Sánchez · Real Valladolid · 6′Raphinha · Barcelona · 54′Fermín López · Barcelona · 60′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Valladolid 0.66 xG · Barcelona 1.91 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Valladolid favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Barcelona in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Valladolid34 matchesBarcelona34 matches
0.74 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 2.68 goals/match
2.44 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲ 0.97 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲ 2.43 xG/match
8.71 shots/matchShots34/34▲ 17.8 shots/match
2.68 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲ 6.59 shots/match
42.3%Possession34/34● 68.9%
3.85 corners/matchCorners34/34● 6.91 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls34/349.32 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal ValladolidBarcelona
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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